(PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS) When will Florida vote to the right of...
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Author Topic: (PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS) When will Florida vote to the right of...  (Read 737 times)
WalterWhite
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« on: April 21, 2023, 05:03:05 PM »
1. Texas
2. South Carolina
3. Missouri
4. Tennessee
5. Arkansas
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #1 on: April 21, 2023, 06:16:35 PM »
Texas:   Possibly 2024, certainly 2028.
SC: 2028 maybe.
Missouri: 2032-2036, if St. Louis/KC slow compared to the rural declines.
AR/TN: Not anytime soon.
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seskoog
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« Reply #2 on: April 22, 2023, 09:43:04 PM »
TX: 2024
SC/MO: 2028 or 2032 if FL keeps shooting substantially rightward.
AR/TN: Not in this current partisan alignment.
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S019
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« Reply #3 on: April 23, 2023, 01:08:07 AM »
1. Texas: 2024 or 2028
2. South Carolina: Not for the foreseeable future
3. Missouri: Not for the foreseeable future
4. Tennessee: Not for the foreseeable future
5. Arkansas: Not for the foreseeable future
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #4 on: April 23, 2023, 02:32:34 PM »
1. Texas: 2024
2. South Carolina: 2028/32
3. Missouri: 2028/32
4. Tennessee: Maybe in a DeSantis reelection, otherwise not anytime soon.
5. Arkansas: Not for the foreseeable future
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #5 on: April 23, 2023, 06:45:05 PM »
Texas: 2024
South Carolina: Maybe 2032
Missouri: Same as South Carolina
Arkansas: Not for the foreseeable future
Tennessee: Not for the foreseeable future
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
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« Reply #6 on: April 26, 2023, 03:53:41 PM »
TX- 2024 only if Trump is the nominee, otherwise later. Culturally conservative minorities will tank dems numbers in TX
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #7 on: April 26, 2023, 07:50:35 PM »
Quote from: RussFeingoldWasRobbed on April 26, 2023, 03:53:41 PM
TX- 2024 only if Trump is the nominee, otherwise later. Culturally conservative minorities will tank dems numbers in TX

Well, Florida could be R+8 and Texas R+7.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
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« Reply #8 on: April 27, 2023, 07:50:25 AM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on April 26, 2023, 07:50:35 PM
Quote from: RussFeingoldWasRobbed on April 26, 2023, 03:53:41 PM
TX- 2024 only if Trump is the nominee, otherwise later. Culturally conservative minorities will tank dems numbers in TX

Well, Florida could be R+8 and Texas R+7.
DeSantis is not as good of a fit for TX as Haley but he would still probably win by double digits there honestly. Culture wars are a drag on the GOP in several places but TX isn't one of them
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Lincoln Project
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« Reply #9 on: April 27, 2023, 01:00:43 PM »
Quote from: RussFeingoldWasRobbed on April 27, 2023, 07:50:25 AM
Quote from: Skill and Chance on April 26, 2023, 07:50:35 PM
Quote from: RussFeingoldWasRobbed on April 26, 2023, 03:53:41 PM
TX- 2024 only if Trump is the nominee, otherwise later. Culturally conservative minorities will tank dems numbers in TX

Well, Florida could be R+8 and Texas R+7.
DeSantis is not as good of a fit for TX as Haley but he would still probably win by double digits there honestly. Culture wars are a drag on the GOP in several places but TX isn't one of them
DeSantis +10 Texas would be based.
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