TN-SEN 2024 megathread (user search)
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April 29, 2024, 10:56:02 PM
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  TN-SEN 2024 megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: TN-SEN 2024 megathread  (Read 3514 times)
Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,596
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -1.57

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« on: April 08, 2023, 05:03:53 PM »

The dems have found their money magnet for Tennessee
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,596
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -1.57

P P P
WWW
« Reply #1 on: April 08, 2023, 05:08:42 PM »

The dems have found their money magnet for Tennessee


Erica Marsh is not a reliable source. Moreover Pearson is 28, two years too young to be a senator.

Tbf he won’t be senator anyways, but when’s his 30th birthday?
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,596
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -1.57

P P P
WWW
« Reply #2 on: May 29, 2023, 12:36:34 AM »

Looks like one of the Tennessee Three may run for senate after all, and it's not Justin Pearson like I had expected...

Any chance Justin Jones still runs against Andy Ogles though? Those will both be major money pits for democrats if they both choose to run.
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,596
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -1.57

P P P
WWW
« Reply #3 on: May 29, 2023, 11:52:11 PM »

Pearson is the only one with a chance at higher office, and that's just from being in a safe D congressional seat.
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,596
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -1.57

P P P
WWW
« Reply #4 on: May 30, 2023, 02:32:01 PM »

Pearson is the only one with a chance at higher office, and that's just from being in a safe D congressional seat.

Jones has a chance too because Ogles’ seat is only Trump+11 and trending leftward quickly.

Not in 2024 though, and by the time it could get blue enough to flip, Tennessee will probably gain a congressional seat and Tennessee could potentially split Nashville into 4 seats.
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,596
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -1.57

P P P
WWW
« Reply #5 on: July 21, 2023, 03:00:15 PM »

Looks like Gloria’s inching closer to a senate bid announcement

Prepare for this to be a massive resist lib money pit, much like Amy McGrath and Marcus Flowers in years prior.
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,596
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -1.57

P P P
WWW
« Reply #6 on: August 04, 2023, 05:21:18 PM »

Gloria Johnson has filed for the senate race. Announcement should be imminent.
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,596
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -1.57

P P P
WWW
« Reply #7 on: August 04, 2023, 08:14:24 PM »

Best case for this is this is an Epsy situation where the Dem runs a solid campaign sort of under the radar and notably outruns Biden (though certainly not by enough to win).

Worst case is this becomes like KY-Sen 2020 and sinks tons of money into a non-competitive race and nationalizing it just for the Dem to outperform Biden by like 1 point.

I’m betting on the latter
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,596
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -1.57

P P P
WWW
« Reply #8 on: August 07, 2023, 06:01:12 PM »

Really don't know why a thread has been made for such a patently uncompetitive race. The D's could run Dolly Parton while the R's could run a mass murderer and the R's would still walk it.

This is basically the 2024 version of the 2020 Kentucky senate race. Johnson, like McGrath, will raise a metric f**k ton of money because of her association with the Tennessee Three, yet will lose by at least 20-25 points just like every other statewide democrat in Tennessee.
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,596
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -1.57

P P P
WWW
« Reply #9 on: September 05, 2023, 01:45:00 PM »

Eternal resist lib money pit
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,596
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -1.57

P P P
WWW
« Reply #10 on: September 08, 2023, 01:41:07 AM »

This continues a trend in recent years of the TNDP supporting more ideologically progressive candidates than it had in the past.  It tried to go to the (relative) center in 2018, but, since then, it's gone hard left.

Can't count on Taylor Swift to save them this time around either
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