TN-SEN 2024 megathread

[Suburbia]

Can yesterday's political stunt by Tennessee Democrats and Republicans displayed energize Democrats to find a challenger against Sen. Marsha Blackburn?

It seems like the Phil Bredesen-Harold Ford-Al Gore moderate Dem formula is outdated and this new aggressive liberal formula is working.

[SnowLabrador]

Unfortunately not. The sad fact is that no amount of money or organizing can change the fact that some places just don't have enough people who aren't neck-deep in QAnon and are willing to vote for Democrats.

[Suburbia]

Unfortunately not. The sad fact is that no amount of money or organizing can change the fact that some places just don't have enough people who aren't neck-deep in QAnon and are willing to vote for Democrats.

So what are Tennessee Democrats trying to do with this gun stuff, because they are only winning Shelby, Davidson and maybe Haywood or Hardeman on a good day...they can't even win Dolly's Sevier County....

[SnowLabrador]

Unfortunately not. The sad fact is that no amount of money or organizing can change the fact that some places just don't have enough people who aren't neck-deep in QAnon and are willing to vote for Democrats.

So what are Tennessee Democrats trying to do with this gun stuff, because they are only winning Shelby, Davidson and maybe Haywood or Hardeman on a good day...they can't even win Dolly's Sevier County....

It's because they believe in gun control, not because they believe they can win statewide elections.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

D's are focused on like a laser on OH and MO because we can lose MT and WV and we still get 50 anyways and last resorts TX and FL

OH and MO are blk Populated and WV and MT are like IA white populated and Kander came within 3 of Blunt when Hillary didn't winEday so an upset is possible

We don't have Nominee yet TX and FL but it's more than likely gonna be a blk male TX Manning or Love and FL Boswell or Rod Joseph, but Rev Barber said it's more practical to go after TX since FL has DeSantis

Bernie has endorsed Kunce, Gallego and Brown to secure the Filibuster proof Trifecta that's why all three are winning the Fundraiser numbers

[2016]

Yeah, Senator Marsha Blackburn is Safe for Re-Election.

She did not do any controversial stuff either since she got elected in 2018.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Tennessee is the largest deep red state in the country. Texas is still pretty Republican, but it's not as red as it once was, Ohio is still trending R, Florida might be getting there we will have to wait and see. But Trump won Tennessee by +23 and it was the state to yield him his largest net win margin of raw votes. Tennessee's size actually pretty underrated, it has a similar population to Arizona, Massachusetts, and Indiana. Regardless, Blackburn is safe and will win by a large margin exceeding her 2018 win.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Tennessee is the largest deep red state in the country. Texas is still pretty Republican, but it's not as red as it once was, Ohio is still trending R, Florida might be getting there we will have to wait and see. But Trump won Tennessee by +23 and it was the state to yield him his largest net win margin of raw votes. Tennessee's size actually pretty underrated, it has a similar population to Arizona, Massachusetts, and Indiana. Regardless, Blackburn is safe and will win by a large margin exceeding her 2018 win.

Do you know 6 pts is MOE that Vance won bye and there are no polls in OH stop trying to make us lose the S before it even happens what happened to Oz, Laxalt, Masters  and Walker 6 pt lead which they lost right before Eday in a Trafalgar poll

Kander lost by 3 to Blunt and Hillary didn't win the Eday cycle of Kunce is down or Brown it's problably 5/6 pts MOE

FL is a difference Animal it's DeSantis territory

Survey USA doesn't poll OH until like 6 mnths before Eday not 1.5 yrs before an Eday, I am anxiously waiting for a poll in OH

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah, Senator Marsha Blackburn is Safe for Re-Election.

She did not do any controversial stuff either since she got elected in 2018.

You guys lost WI by 11 you guys arent winning Prez without WI, PA and MI anyways due to Kelly polling 10pts lower than Trump in MKE and Madison rural and suburban areas

[Real Texan Politics]

The dems have found their money magnet for Tennessee
https://twitter.com/ericareport/status/1644734844013015040?s=46&t=59oavo1iIV...

[Tekken_Guy]

The dems have found their money magnet for Tennessee
https://twitter.com/ericareport/status/1644734844013015040?s=46&t=59oavo1iIV...

Erica Marsh is not a reliable source. Moreover Pearson is 28, two years too young to be a senator.

[Real Texan Politics]

The dems have found their money magnet for Tennessee
https://twitter.com/ericareport/status/1644734844013015040?s=46&t=59oavo1iIV...

Erica Marsh is not a reliable source. Moreover Pearson is 28, two years too young to be a senator.

Tbf he won’t be senator anyways, but when’s his 30th birthday?

[Roll Roons]

I'm not convinced Erica Marsh is even a real person.

[Tekken_Guy]

The dems have found their money magnet for Tennessee
https://twitter.com/ericareport/status/1644734844013015040?s=46&t=59oavo1iIV...

Erica Marsh is not a reliable source. Moreover Pearson is 28, two years too young to be a senator.

Tbf he won’t be senator anyways, but when’s his 30th birthday?

TBH I forgot about the year and a half he has to turn 30, but his birthday is January 7, 1995.

[Sestak]

The dems have found their money magnet for Tennessee
https://twitter.com/ericareport/status/1644734844013015040?s=46&t=59oavo1iIV...

Erica Marsh is not a reliable source. Moreover Pearson is 28, two years too young to be a senator.

Tbf he won’t be senator anyways, but when’s his 30th birthday?

TBH I forgot about the year and a half he has to turn 30, but his birthday is January 7, 1995.

So four days after the term would start. Not impossible to thread that needle and just show up to congress a few days late but yeah, this is probably complete nonsense.

[ModerateRadical]

Unfortunately not. The sad fact is that no amount of money or organizing can change the fact that some places just don't have enough people who aren't neck-deep in QAnon and are willing to vote for Democrats.

So what are Tennessee Democrats trying to do with this gun stuff, because they are only winning Shelby, Davidson and maybe Haywood or Hardeman on a good day...they can't even win Dolly's Sevier County....

Not exactly notable that Sevier isn't voting for Democrats. It's East Tennessee, which has been ridiculously red for the better part of the last century.

[Vosem]

Unfortunately not. The sad fact is that no amount of money or organizing can change the fact that some places just don't have enough people who aren't neck-deep in QAnon and are willing to vote for Democrats.

So what are Tennessee Democrats trying to do with this gun stuff, because they are only winning Shelby, Davidson and maybe Haywood or Hardeman on a good day...they can't even win Dolly's Sevier County....

Sevier County has not voted for any Democrats since Andrew Jackson in 1832 and was safely Republican (...and before that Whig) even in the days when Tennessee as a whole was safely Democrat; this really means nothing.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

NAACP and Rev Barber already outline the states we should focus on blue states, Carolinas, OH, MO and TX he recruits Beto and Gallego

MO is definitely in play because KS is moving to the left of IA now and KS Sharice David's is running for Gov and Reynolds and Ernst are gonna get reelected

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

Unfortunately not. The sad fact is that no amount of money or organizing can change the fact that some places just don't have enough people who aren't neck-deep in QAnon and are willing to vote for Democrats.

So what are Tennessee Democrats trying to do with this gun stuff, because they are only winning Shelby, Davidson and maybe Haywood or Hardeman on a good day...they can't even win Dolly's Sevier County....

They believe widespread gun ownership is bad and leads to tragic school shootings,

[Pollster]

One of the three running against Blackburn is probably a Jamie Harrison-esque situation. Gloria Johnson's races have always been incredibly tight - possible that she has some real juice.

[Xing]

I could definitely see Blackburn underperforming Trump, but this race still won’t be remotely close.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I could definitely see Blackburn underperforming Trump, but this race still won’t be remotely close.

No one is running she will get 70 percent of the vote with Indy just like Wicker Barber said MO, TX OH S at the expense of MT and WV because they are white populated

It's on poor people campaign site he said you don't have to donate to Act blue donate to Poor people and they will donate to Act blue and it's tax deductible like Tithes Act blue isn't , he recruited Gallego and Beto and Bernie has endorsed Kunce and BROWN

That's why I have OH Lean D not R Brown isn't a typical D he can win this race and Vance only won by 6 MOE and Josh Hawley only beat Claire McCaskill by the same margin as Vance he isn't winning by 20, MO and KS are movimg more left than IA, Sharice David's is gonna be elected Gov in 26 and Reynolds and Ernst are gonna be reelected in 26, but Collins and Tillis are vulnerable

[MT Treasurer]

Best hope for the GOP is Democrats inadvertently nationalizing races like TN/MO and shallow, ignorant Democratic activists throwing an ungodly amount of cash at them that would obviously be better spent in far more competitive races. Basically a repeat of 2020.

Generally easier for red state Democrats to pull off a "behind-the-scenes"/"under-the-radar" upset/overperformance in a more 'quiet' race (case in point: ND 2012, MS 2020, MO 2022) than in a heavily nationalized race that’s identified as a target from a very early stage on.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Best hope for the GOP is Democrats inadvertently nationalizing races like TN/MO and shallow, ignorant Democratic activists throwing an ungodly amount of cash at them that would obviously be better spent in far more competitive races. Basically a repeat of 2020.

Generally easier for red state Democrats to pull off a "behind-the-scenes"/"under-the-radar" upset/overperformance in a more 'quiet' race (case in point: ND 2012, MS 2020, MO 2022) than in a heavily nationalized race that’s identified as a target from a very early stage on.

LoL do you know how much Josh Hawley won by 6 pts Kander came within 3 pts of Blunt it's called wave insurance and we can't donate to FL a D TX yet Emerson has Biden tied in FL because there are no nominee yet TN there is no one running but an Indy, OH is I'm play because Vance won by the same amount as Hawley 6 MOE, Females in MO outside Claire McVaskill she was an Auditor and Jean Carnahan get blown out Males like Nixon, Mel Carnahan and Bob Holden don't get blown out

Once there is a Nominee in FL and we get some polls we can donate to FL

What happened in WI you guys got blown out you guys arent winning the Prez anyways

We aren't inadvertently diverting cash to MO it's called union and Fed cash donations in OH,AZ, MT v online Donations MO, FL and TX, as I said above Poor people campaign are Donating to wave insurance seats just like last time Gary Peters diverted resources to all the 303 states and Poor people campaign put money into Tim Ryan it's on his website which I am proudly donating to, we have plenty of money to secure the union states of Baldwin, Slotkin and Casey it's called union dues they take out workers checks

[ProgressiveModerate]

Tennessee is the largest deep red state in the country. Texas is still pretty Republican, but it's not as red as it once was, Ohio is still trending R, Florida might be getting there we will have to wait and see. But Trump won Tennessee by +23 and it was the state to yield him his largest net win margin of raw votes. Tennessee's size actually pretty underrated, it has a similar population to Arizona, Massachusetts, and Indiana. Regardless, Blackburn is safe and will win by a large margin exceeding her 2018 win.

Tennessee rurals in the eastern part of the state are extremely dense and extremely red. Without the Appalachian part of the state, TN would actually be competitive, but those rurals net the GOP a ton of votes Nasheville and Memphis could never overcome.