With what is happening in NC,NE, and SC, I see a pattern.
I think a lot of socially moderate or otherwise swingy red states will adapt a 12 week limit to abortion and perhaps when the Democrats eventually win the ones trending towards them, they’ll explicitly legalize it…until 12 weeks. With medical necessity to viability to protect from maternal death, permanent impairment, or extreme emotional distress resulting from the condition of the fetus itself.
Maybe 15 or 18 weeks in states like Virginia where Republicans can still get lucky or states like Arizona that are now truly up for grabs at all levels. Maybe states like Rhode Island will be in this group but maybe not.
We could really be looking at a pretty smooth spectrum of laws by the time everything is said and done. Maybe it will end on Republicans triangulating on the issue once it becomes clear that they already got what they want. Kind of like Obamacare, really.
They finally are successful on something they have been fighting for 50 years, but the impact of it is minimized and people more or less stop talking about it.
Oh, the SC leglislature passed a 6 week ban after several special sessions where it failed, but it was blocked by the state Supreme Court for violating SC's right to privacy in our constitution.
The problem is, one of the justices who voted to block the law has retired due to age limits. The legislature replaced her with a man and the law is back under judicial review. People expect the new justice to vote to allow the law to go into effect, but so far no decision has been rendered.
