Harvard-Harris: Trump +4 and DeSantis +3

[jaichind]

https://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/HHP_March_2023_KeyResults.pdf

Trump 45 Biden 41    
DeSantis 44 Biden 41 
Trump 48 Harris 38   
DeSantis 46 Harris 38   
Biden 42  Haley 40   
Haley 43 Harris 38

Looks similar to their Feb poll

[Spectator]

Their questionable general election numbers aside, they have Trump +26 in the primary

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah SURE 😃😃😃

[GeneralMacArthur]

Harvard-Harris has been thoroughly discredited.

[RFK 2024]

A little bit of a deeper dive here.  Looks like almost the exact same situation as 6 months ago.  Amazing how static everything is in this era of hyper partisanship.

U.S. Economy (Right track/wrong track)

Nov 2022: 28% / 64%
Mar 2023: 33% / 61%

Biden approval (positive/negative)

Nov 2022: 43% / 54%
Mar 2023: 43% / 55%

Democrat approval (positive/negative)

Nov 2022: 49% / 51%
Mar 2023: 49% / 51%

GOP approval (positive/negative)

Nov 2022: 49% / 51%
Mar 2023: 52% / 48%

If Democrats could pull out a net gain last November with this environment I expect things still narrowly favor Biden winning reelection at this moment, probably with a similar margin to 2020.

(** this is assuming their polling strategy hasn't changed post-election)

[Sir Mohamed]

Trump isn't going to win the NPV. Even if FL further shifts R and TX remains static compared to 2020. DeSantis I could see in perfect storm pulling off a tied or a slim 1 pt. victory.

[wbrocks67]

Harvard-Harris has been thoroughly discredited.

This- their #s were a total hot mess last year and clearly still are.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This poll is inaccurate, QU had Beto down 15 and he lost by 11 so if that's the case QU that have Trump down 49/45 is accurate