Dave: More Rasmussen State Polls for the Map
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Author Topic: Dave: More Rasmussen State Polls for the Map  (Read 1124 times)
King
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« on: July 09, 2004, 02:15:41 PM »
I included links for all the polls:

Pennsylvania: Kerry 48% Bush 43%

Ohio: Bush 46% Kerry 42%

Missouri: Bush 48% Kerry 44%

Iowa: Kerry 48% Bush 44%

Maine: Kerry 46% Bush 45%

What really shocked me was the real turnaround in Maine (currently strong Kerry on Dave's Polling Map)
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TeePee4Prez
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« Reply #1 on: July 09, 2004, 02:22:30 PM »
WOOHOO!!! Kerry up 5 in PA!!!!
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #2 on: July 09, 2004, 02:26:37 PM »

Sorry to burst your bubble Handzus but aren't the Rasmussen polls usually innaccurate?

Oh and after this Bush visit to PA today, I bet his numbers go up.
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Reds4
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« Reply #3 on: July 09, 2004, 07:09:49 PM »
PA in general seems to be trending toward Kerry. My state of Ohio seems to be trending to Bush. We'll see if this continues.
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #4 on: July 09, 2004, 09:27:45 PM »
Thanks.  Added... I was a bit torn on these polls as they are a 30 day result... don't know how much stock to put in them.
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TeePee4Prez
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« Reply #5 on: July 10, 2004, 12:03:29 AM »
Quote from: Keystone Phil on July 09, 2004, 02:26:37 PM

Sorry to burst your bubble Handzus but aren't the Rasmussen polls usually innaccurate?

Oh and after this Bush visit to PA today, I bet his numbers go up.

Dude, isn't SpongeBob SquarePants on soon?
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Platypus
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« Reply #6 on: July 10, 2004, 07:37:32 AM »
If Bush's visit to PA and Kerry's visit to FL got in OUR news, I presume they were big enough to halt/excellerate trends stateside...
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #7 on: July 10, 2004, 05:17:36 PM »

Sorry to burst your bubble but...

Rasmussen runs a sorta/kinda tracking poll in Pennsylvania - except we get one sample a week rather than a day - very small samples too about 150 or so per week - this "tracking poll" just has a huge spike a couple weeks back, meaning it was "likely" a blip.

Florida, on the other hand, has been a slow steady rise for Kerry which usually indicates a real trend in a tracking poll...

Assuming you believe these robo-tracks at all Smiley

The Florida result is more likely to be real than the Pennsylvania one.
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