EMERSON COLLEGE SHOCK FL POLL BIDEN TIED
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  EMERSON COLLEGE SHOCK FL POLL BIDEN TIED
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Author Topic: EMERSON COLLEGE SHOCK FL POLL BIDEN TIED  (Read 954 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« on: March 18, 2023, 03:11:50 AM »
« edited: March 18, 2023, 03:37:39 AM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

https://twitter.com/EmersonPolling/status/1636785127333167104?t=Zr3mG0v5kHnkCpGsnBo1gQ&s=19

Biden 44
Trump 44

DeSantis 46
Biden 43


Sen Matt Boswell
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oldtimer
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« Reply #1 on: March 18, 2023, 09:01:28 AM »

Stick it in the average.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: March 18, 2023, 09:24:10 AM »

Emerson is very accurate it predict the OH Senate race polls so I won't discount this poll but because its a D sample not R it's AVERAGE

They showed Ryan was 3/4 pts down not up 48/39 like Ryan internal have it and this is Biden down or tie


The other one that had Trump and Desantis up 10 was a Universities poll
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President Johnson
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« Reply #3 on: March 18, 2023, 02:46:18 PM »

43-44% for Biden seems reasonable.
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BG-NY
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« Reply #4 on: March 18, 2023, 03:40:30 PM »

Emerson is very accurate it predict the OH Senate race polls so I won't discount this poll but because its a D sample not R it's AVERAGE

They showed Ryan was 3/4 pts down not up 48/39 like Ryan internal have it and this is Biden down or tie


The other one that had Trump and Desantis up 10 was a Universities poll
Emerson had Ohio R+2. The final result was R+6.1, which is closer to the internal you just decried.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #5 on: March 18, 2023, 03:43:45 PM »

Remember that Florida polls always overestimate Democrats, so you have to add about 5-7% to the Republican.

So, assuming that Election Day was this coming Tuesday, Trump would probably defeat Biden by about 6-7%, and DeSantis would probably defeat Biden by 8-9%.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #6 on: March 18, 2023, 04:14:57 PM »

Nope, not playing that game anymore.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: March 18, 2023, 08:43:16 PM »
« Edited: March 18, 2023, 08:49:55 PM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

It's wave insurance but Matt Boswell is texting me and said FL is in play Obama and Biden won 331 50)45 and Biden got 303 with 50)45 if we win 50)45 we can win FL, NC GA and AZ every Eday map isn't 303 it's 303 with wave insurance

DeSantis only won FL by 20 anyways due to IAN and Rubio he is underpolled against Biden and hitting 47 because he is a Romney clone that voted for Trump tax cuts in the H

JUSY LIKE IF WE WIN FL WE NET A NEW S seat that gets us to 49 after AZ Gallego ll we need is 1 more of WV, MO, OH, MT

I HAVE A SNEAKY SUSPECT THAT ITS MO NOT OH THATS 51/50. AZ, MO, FL LOSING WV, OH AND MT CAN BE IN CARDS BUT IF WE WIN 350 WE CAN KEEP 1 MORE WV

It's 20 months EDAY, it's not tomorrow
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #8 on: March 20, 2023, 09:51:21 AM »

Emerson remains a hot mess - sad!
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #9 on: March 20, 2023, 09:54:43 AM »

> Memerson

FL is Safe R for 2024 and I hope Biden/Dems don't get fooled by polls that have double digit undecideds and show a tied or close race. It's npt happening, he's even winning TX before FL.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #10 on: March 20, 2023, 10:02:21 AM »

> Memerson

FL is Safe R for 2024 and I hope Biden/Dems don't get fooled by polls that have double digit undecideds and show a tied or close race. It's npt happening, he's even winning TX before FL.

LoL it's wave insurance it's a 303/125 map and we don't have nominees for D's in FL and TX

It was a 303/125 map in 20/22 Beto was clearly gaining momentum at the end against Abbott it wasn't enough though, but never count out D's in blk and Latino states FL and TX have 15 percent blk and 26 percent Latino just like CA the difference are whites are R and females can change their minds on voting R
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #11 on: March 20, 2023, 10:06:37 AM »

> Memerson

FL is Safe R for 2024 and I hope Biden/Dems don't get fooled by polls that have double digit undecideds and show a tied or close race. It's npt happening, he's even winning TX before FL.

LoL it's wave insurance it's a 303/125 map and we don't have nominees for D's in FL and TX

It was a 303/125 map in 20/22 Beto was clearly gaining momentum at the end against Abbott it wasn't enough though, but never count out D's in blk and Latino states FL and TX have 15 percent blk and 26 percent Latino just like CA the difference are whites are R and females can change their minds on voting R

303 map doesn't include FL though. It's Safe R, DeSantis and Rubio won landslides last year. 2024 won't have such a margin, but the state is completely gone. Biden should target NC, TX and perhaps AK to expand the 303 map.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #12 on: March 20, 2023, 04:54:35 PM »

No
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #13 on: March 21, 2023, 01:50:56 AM »

> Memerson

FL is Safe R for 2024 and I hope Biden/Dems don't get fooled by polls that have double digit undecideds and show a tied or close race. It's npt happening, he's even winning TX before FL.

LoL it's wave insurance it's a 303/125 map and we don't have nominees for D's in FL and TX

It was a 303/125 map in 20/22 Beto was clearly gaining momentum at the end against Abbott it wasn't enough though, but never count out D's in blk and Latino states FL and TX have 15 percent blk and 26 percent Latino just like CA the difference are whites are R and females can change their minds on voting R

303 map doesn't include FL though. It's Safe R, DeSantis and Rubio won landslides last year. 2024 won't have such a margin, but the state is completely gone. Biden should target NC, TX and perhaps AK to expand the 303 map.

Sorry I don't believe you FL is completely gone and it's only 3 pts
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #14 on: March 21, 2023, 05:36:43 PM »

Biden could get 43 or 44%, yes.

That's the only accurate part of this poll.

How many times do old Florida Men have to teach us!?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #15 on: March 21, 2023, 11:05:24 PM »

Biden could get 43 or 44%, yes.

That's the only accurate part of this poll.

How many times do old Florida Men have to teach us!?

LoL stop with this 43% Trump is at 43% too
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TodayJunior
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« Reply #16 on: March 25, 2023, 11:19:28 AM »

I want to believe. But I don’t.
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