How does Desantis do in the suburbs?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 26, 2024, 01:58:16 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  How does Desantis do in the suburbs?
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Poll
Question: How does Desantis do in the suburbs?
#1
Romney 2012
#2
Between Romney 2012 and Trump 2016
#3
Trump 2016
#4
Between Trump 2016 and Trump 2020( slight swing left)
#5
Trump 2020
#6
Worse than Trump 2020
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results


Author Topic: How does Desantis do in the suburbs?  (Read 1579 times)
Radicalneo
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 383
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: March 14, 2023, 03:39:44 PM »

I think this is the question of electability
Logged
Ferguson97
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,135
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: March 14, 2023, 04:34:33 PM »

Slightly better than Trump, but not by much.
Logged
SaneDemocrat
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,340


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: March 14, 2023, 04:48:35 PM »

He does a point better
Logged
THG
TheTarHeelGent
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,191
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: March 14, 2023, 04:56:46 PM »

It depends.

If he goes way too far to the right to try to pander to MAGA (his recent Ukraine statement was annoying if not disastrous) but if he continues on that path, not much better.

If he sheds the Trumpian association successfully and softens his image, he could potentially do a lot better than 2020 Trump.
Logged
here2view
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,691
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.13, S: -1.74

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: March 14, 2023, 04:57:39 PM »

Trump 2020, the shifting demographics of the suburbs are negated by him being a better fit than Trump — making it a wash.
Logged
Cyrusman
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,354
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: March 14, 2023, 05:15:16 PM »

It depends.

If he goes way too far to the right to try to pander to MAGA (his recent Ukraine statement was annoying if not disastrous) but if he continues on that path, not much better.

If he sheds the Trumpian association successfully and softens his image, he could potentially do a lot better than 2020 Trump.

My guess is if Desantis does become the nominee he will soften quite a bit. If your going to take on Trump in a primary, you need to through red meat at the base.
Logged
Roronoa D. Law
Patrick97
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,496
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: March 14, 2023, 06:05:12 PM »

Around Trump 2020 but there will be some areas I can see him doing worse in like Atlanta, Twin Cities, Denver, and DC
Logged
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,763


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: March 14, 2023, 08:09:29 PM »

It depends.

If he goes way too far to the right to try to pander to MAGA (his recent Ukraine statement was annoying if not disastrous) but if he continues on that path, not much better.

If he sheds the Trumpian association successfully and softens his image, he could potentially do a lot better than 2020 Trump.

My guess is if Desantis does become the nominee he will soften quite a bit. If your going to take on Trump in a primary, you need to through red meat at the base.

The issue though is the Romney 2012 trap . Romney pandered to the tea party in order to win the nomination and went as fast as disowning his own healthcare plan and when he tried to moderate in the general , it made him seem like a dishonest flip flopper.

Now Biden is no where near as good of a campaigner as Obama so it may be easier for him to get away with it as well
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,708
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: March 14, 2023, 08:35:38 PM »

It depends.

If he goes way too far to the right to try to pander to MAGA (his recent Ukraine statement was annoying if not disastrous) but if he continues on that path, not much better.

If he sheds the Trumpian association successfully and softens his image, he could potentially do a lot better than 2020 Trump.

My guess is if Desantis does become the nominee he will soften quite a bit. If your going to take on Trump in a primary, you need to through red meat at the base.

The issue though is the Romney 2012 trap . Romney pandered to the tea party in order to win the nomination and went as fast as disowning his own healthcare plan and when he tried to moderate in the general , it made him seem like a dishonest flip flopper.

Now Biden is no where near as good of a campaigner as Obama so it may be easier for him to get away with it as well

LoL Biden beat Paul Ryan in the Debate it's still 65(60More D's we just got a 303 map in 2020 not a 331 map and we still have 20 mnths til wave insurance Obama was not at 50/49 in Rassy polls 20 mnths before Eday Gas prices, unemployment and no Covid Surge
Logged
MargieCat
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,571
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: March 14, 2023, 08:37:53 PM »

He collapses in the suburbs.

Does not quite hit Trump's numbers in the rurals, although he does get close.
Logged
THG
TheTarHeelGent
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,191
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: March 14, 2023, 09:03:03 PM »

It depends.

If he goes way too far to the right to try to pander to MAGA (his recent Ukraine statement was annoying if not disastrous) but if he continues on that path, not much better.

If he sheds the Trumpian association successfully and softens his image, he could potentially do a lot better than 2020 Trump.

My guess is if Desantis does become the nominee he will soften quite a bit. If your going to take on Trump in a primary, you need to through red meat at the base.

The issue though is the Romney 2012 trap . Romney pandered to the tea party in order to win the nomination and went as fast as disowning his own healthcare plan and when he tried to moderate in the general , it made him seem like a dishonest flip flopper.

Now Biden is no where near as good of a campaigner as Obama so it may be easier for him to get away with it as well

Yeah, this is what worries me.

I know that DeSantis technically didn't go full out "dump Ukraine" but he definitely aligned himself with the more dovish wing of the GOP on that issue. It was definitely a mistake and he'd have been much better off being vague or honestly spouting his original position.
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,197
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: March 14, 2023, 09:18:21 PM »

Worse than Trump, just like Hillary was supposed to do better than Obama in the rurals...didn't work out then, won't work out now.
Logged
Radicalneo
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 383
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: March 15, 2023, 09:28:38 AM »

He collapses in the suburbs.

Does not quite hit Trump's numbers in the rurals, although he does get close.
How bad?
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,495


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: March 15, 2023, 01:03:34 PM »

This is the reason a lot of Republicans want DeSantis as Republican Nominee next year:


DeSantis is + 8 with Suburban Voters while that "ORANGE CLOWN" is at - 13.
Logged
SaneDemocrat
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,340


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: March 15, 2023, 04:39:08 PM »

This is the reason a lot of Republicans want DeSantis as Republican Nominee next year:


DeSantis is + 8 with Suburban Voters while that "ORANGE CLOWN" is at - 13.
Does this hold up?
Logged
Radicalneo
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 383
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: March 15, 2023, 11:20:28 PM »

This is the reason a lot of Republicans want DeSantis as Republican Nominee next year:

DeSantis is + 8 with Suburban Voters while that "ORANGE CLOWN" is at - 13.
That poll explains a lot.
Logged
Shaula🏳️‍⚧️
Shaula
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,310
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: March 16, 2023, 04:07:26 AM »

Better than Trump 2020, worse than Trump 2016.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,708
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: March 16, 2023, 06:44:39 AM »

Better than Trump 2020, worse than Trump 2016.

LoL he is losing in a QU poll, yeah it's only 1 pt but it's early and Obama was trailing Romney 48/51 in 2912 at this pt in the campaign
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,708
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: March 16, 2023, 06:46:53 AM »

This is the reason a lot of Republicans want DeSantis as Republican Nominee next year:


DeSantis is + 8 with Suburban Voters while that "ORANGE CLOWN" is at - 13.
Does this hold up?


LoL this poll has little meaning DeSantis hasn't been scrutinize by Biden with ads, users take polls at face value 20 months before Eday what did 22 teach us that polls are faulty they had RS taking 24oH seats that's your polls


Obama was losing to Romney in April 2012
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,702
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: March 16, 2023, 10:24:30 AM »

Well, let's not pretend suburbs are monolith with universal swings back and forth. I think he'd do better than Trump in most areas, but no return to W-era levels or even Romney '12.
Logged
THG
TheTarHeelGent
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,191
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: March 16, 2023, 05:03:32 PM »

Well, let's not pretend suburbs are monolith with universal swings back and forth. I think he'd do better than Trump in most areas, but no return to W-era levels or even Romney '12.

Thanks for pointing out that suburbs aren't a monolith. Gwinnett County, GA and OC, California might as well be in different countries.
Logged
EastwoodS
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,858


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: March 18, 2023, 03:05:06 AM »

Desantis would do much better than trump in the suburbs, It's nonsensical to say otherwise.
Logged
Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,213


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -5.04

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: March 18, 2023, 03:08:08 AM »

Desantis would do much better than trump in the suburbs, It's nonsensical to say otherwise.

It's also nonsensical to be so presumptive about DeSantis doing "much better" 10 months before the Iowa Caucus and when he hasn't even officially entered the race
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,708
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: March 18, 2023, 03:50:27 AM »

He is only 3 pts ahead of Biden in FL, FL is definitely in play I don't know whom claim TX is more in play than FL because QU had Beto 15 pts behind Greg Abbott
Logged
FloridaMan1845
Rookie
**
Posts: 166
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: March 18, 2023, 09:00:28 PM »

He is only 3 pts ahead of Biden in FL, FL is definitely in play I don't know whom claim TX is more in play than FL because QU had Beto 15 pts behind Greg Abbott
Joe Biden is DOA in the state of Florida, especially if DeSantis is on the ballot. R+11-13.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.047 seconds with 13 queries.