How many states will switch? (excluding NM, IO, & NH) (user search)
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  How many states will switch? (excluding NM, IO, & NH) (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Excluding New Mexico, Iowa, and New Hampshire, how many states do you think will switch party vote in the 2008 presidential election from the 2004 results?
#1
None
 
#2
1-2
 
#3
3-4
 
#4
5-6
 
#5
7+
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 30

Author Topic: How many states will switch? (excluding NM, IO, & NH)  (Read 5254 times)
Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« on: February 27, 2007, 09:31:51 PM »

James is right.  While voting for the winner every time since JFK in 1960 doesn't make it more important than any other state, it does make it a very important bellwhether state.  Remember, politicians tend to be very superstitious.  The phrase "As goes Missouri, so goes the rest of the country" may or may not be true, but in this case, with that kind of winning record, candidates of BOTH parties need to spend money in Missouri and pay close attention to it.  Its not the "state south of Iowa", it is a very big bellwhether for the country.

That said, its streak has to come to an end sometime, but in the mean time, it needs attention if the candidate knows whats good for them.
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #1 on: March 04, 2007, 11:04:27 PM »

I know everybody thinks I'm senile for thinking this, but I believe Oklahoma will be a more competitive state in 2008.  If Gov. Bill Richardson is the Democratic Nominee we could very easily come back to being a swing state.  I know one thing we will go Democrat within the next 12 years.
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #2 on: March 04, 2007, 11:46:16 PM »

Colorado has more evidence of a Democratic trend then New Mexico does.......

I'm just not sure at this point that Colorado is as Democratic as everyone makes it out to be.  Well I guess we'll see in a year and a half or so.

I know everybody thinks I'm senile for thinking this, but I believe Oklahoma will be a more competitive state in 2008.  If Gov. Bill Richardson is the Democratic Nominee we could very easily come back to being a swing state.  I know one thing we will go Democrat within the next 12 years.

I wouldn't bet on it.  It is also very disappointing when you build your state up to be something it isn't, I know from experience.  Oklahoma is FAR right, and 2008 probably won't see any change.

I know more about Oklahoma than you do and we are not far right and we are trending Democrat while our big cities are becoming less conservative.  We will see a change in 2008, more toward the Democratic side.  No Republican will EVER win all 77 counties again.  That was just a horrible Democratic candidate.  Oklahoma can never be truthfully considered a far right state considering we have more Democrats than Republicans in registered voters.
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