How many states will switch? (excluding NM, IO, & NH)

[TomC]

Missouri Could Switch, but only with a good DEM nominee. And Dems need to figure out a way to win my home state, as no Democratic has EVER won the White House without Missouri in recent times.

Argumentum ad antiquitatem doesn't cut it. Missouri is no more important than any other state.

I didn't say it is more important, I am just saying that every Democrat who has won the White House has won missouri..

We used to say whichever candidate was taller would win, but I think that's been untrue the last 2 elections.

[TomC]

I think 6 states will switch, including two of  the three mentioned: Ia, NM, Nev, Colo, Mo., Ohio. NH will only switch if Sununu is VP nom.