I just hope Democrats don’t get too cocky with this and poor every cent they have into Florida next year.
Republicans could flip the gym teacher in Middle of Nowhere Texas and that clearly proves it’s as R+20 as it was in 2004, but Democrats flip the biggest GOP city in the nation and suddenly it’s all sunshine and rainbows for Florida Dems.
I hope they don’t read too much into it too, but then again maybe it does suggest Florida isn’t quite as far gone as people thought. The problem is the trends in South Florida, particularly Miami, are still bad for us. Unless those reverse (and it’s not IMPOSSIBLE; Bush did better there and in the state as a whole in 2004 than Trump did in 2020), then the irony could be that we would win the state if the trends in the rest of the state held but the South Florida R trends never happened. It would be a frustrating way for it to remain forever just out of reach.
