2023 Jacksonville Mayoral Election (jungle primary 3/21, runoff 5/16) (user search)
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  2023 Jacksonville Mayoral Election (jungle primary 3/21, runoff 5/16) (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2023 Jacksonville Mayoral Election (jungle primary 3/21, runoff 5/16)  (Read 5610 times)
libertpaulian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,611
United States


« on: May 16, 2023, 06:36:00 PM »

Let's see how Florida Dems do in a special election.
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libertpaulian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,611
United States


« Reply #1 on: May 16, 2023, 06:47:54 PM »

Wow, Deegan really outperforming the voter reg - was expecting a loss after seeing those earlier. Exciting! FL Dems aren't completely dead after all!

One local election doesn't undo past failures. if anything, its just more evidence that persuasion effects are really only working to the benefit of the Dems in a post-Roe environment.

And Dem's improving in the Jacksonville metro won't win them the state, as show by 2020. Its a good flip, but Florida is a big state full of large independently moving voter cohorts, and the FLDP's perpetual problem is they are campaigning for the votes based on the alignment of cohorts in the last election, when change is rapid enough and fluid enough to leave them behind. If you want a hot take, it's that the FLDP fell into their problems the moment the disparate voter groups became large enough to matter, and 2000 just revealed it to the world.
What's a way FLDP can overcome that?
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