More likely to happen? Manchin wins or Scott loses?

[Tekken_Guy]

What is more likely to happen? Joe Manchin winning or Rick Scott losing?

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

Manchin. The "Our Guy" effect is pretty strong, while the Florida Dem bench is a disaster.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Manchin wins, Biden polls are bad 44/56 again

[MillennialModerate]

Easily Manchin winning.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Easily Scott losing

[GALeftist]

Justice is in, so Scott losing.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Objectively Scott losing.

Both states def lean R, but there's still a huge difference between a Trump + 3 state and a Trump + 40 state in a Pres cycle.

With Scott, it's not that hard to make a theoretical electoral path that'd bring him down. With Manchin you're picking at straws.

[S019]

Obviously Scott losing

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Val Demings didn't win of course no one is beating Scott

Cook always say the rule of thumb an incumbency isn't loosing until we see a poll just like S019 is wrong on KY because Beshear is winning and KS Gov hardly any poll had Kelly losing even Emerson had Kelly winning

Sorry Beshear isn't losing up by 9 pts due to blk vote not voting for Cameron but for Beshear

[Xing]

Neither will happen, but Scott will win by less than Manchin loses by, so I voted for FL.

[Sir Mohamed]

Neither will happen, but Scott will win by less than Manchin loses by, so I voted for FL.

This is the correct answer.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Obviously Scott losing. A more interesting question would be Manchin winning vs Hawley losing.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Obviously Scott losing. A more interesting question would be Manchin winning vs Hawley losing.

Scott isn't losing with DeSantis obviously gomna be the R nomination

We needed Gwen Graham to run and I was hoping she would but since Crist and Deming's lost by landslide she isn't gonna waste her time

Incumbent wins even if they are in the opposition party state why has Brown been the only D to withstand R trend of OH because he is the incumbent Beshear and Johnson and Cooper winning proves that Manchin can win we can win the S with AZ, OH and either MT or WVA and Tester already beaten Rosedale he isn't Daines

That's why NC and GA is gonna go to DeSantis, Stein can win and Desantis win NC because Cooper won by 4 and Trump won by 1 it's called split voting

A 51/47 Biden PVI is 290 plus 51/50 S and 218/217 DH without Sinema or Manchin that's a Filibuster proof Trifecta

The KY poll should show users that Manchin isn't DOA

2012 Obama won the PVI only 51/47 and MT, OH and WV went D we need to see an Emerson POLL

Sorry Hawley is winning in red MO Sen

That's why S019 R nut map doesn't work blks and Latinos are 5/6 percent of the vote and WI he was wrong about and blks in KY aren't voting for Cameron he claimed Cameron was gonna win

Manchin and Tester and Beshear and Presley are WC that's means moderate on guns just like Nascar, Russia Hockey players and Baseball players are Hunters and golf with Country club TRUMP, and Football and Basketball player except Novinski and Brady are for BLM

Jefferson Davis D's during the Confederate states were pro guns that's why they were good in combat but Lincoln allowed blk men to serve in military that turned the tide of War

[Tekken_Guy]

Obviously Scott losing. A more interesting question would be Manchin winning vs Hawley losing.

Or Manchin winning vs. anyone other than Jim Banks being Braun’s successor.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Obviously Scott losing. A more interesting question would be Manchin winning vs Hawley losing.

Or Manchin winning vs. anyone other than Jim Banks being Braun’s successor.

Manchin Approvals are exactly where Brown and Casey are 45% that's better than Johnson. And Vance whom were reelected 37/51 wait for an Emerson poll it's two yrs out, if Manchin felt he was DOA he would immediately announced his retirement RS didn't defeat a single D incumbent and they were fav in NV

The Last time RS defeated a D inc was 2018 before COVID-19

[MT Treasurer]

Could Manchin be reelected if 2024 is a 1912 redux and Biden carries WV because there’s a split in the Republican vote?

33.4% Biden (D)
33.3% DeSantis (R)
33.3% Trump (R/I)

I guess it might depend on whether Trump endorses Manchin or not, huh.

Maybe not particularly likely, but neither was CCM beating Laxalt, so we can’t get overconfident.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Could Manchin be reelected if 2024 is a 1912 redux and Biden carries WV because there’s a split in the Republican vote?

33.4% Biden (D)
33.3% DeSantis (R)
33.3% Trump (R/I)

LoL, you know Biden don't have to win WV in order for Manchin, Tester to win because it's called Split voting Beshear is leading Cameron and that's an R 22 state just wait till the Emerson polls, Manchin and Tester won in 2012 and Obama didn't win MT and WV didn't you say Laxalt was gonna win you were wrong

Guess what most Senators approvals are 45%blike Biden that's  DOA Johnson won with a 37% Approval and Evers won in D WI but Baldwin is fav she beat Tommy Thompson

Manchin is a WC D like Beshear he can win

RS haven't won a single D seat in S since 2018 that's bad they failed in 20/22 because they support tax cuts for rich are you gonna get a tax cut if RS win no you not you maybe middle class but you aren't rich that means millions not thousand and own property