More likely to happen? Brown wins or Cruz loses?

[Tekken_Guy]

What is more likely to happen? Sherrod Brown winning or Ted Cruz losing?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Brown win with Docugate Cruz isn't losing, Cruz was so endangered and he isn't, why isn't Collem ALRED or Beto running that tells you that Cruz will win

Cruz is Cuban just like Rubio and Bb MENENDEZ

Tier 1 AZ, MI, NV, OH, PA, VA, WV, WI
Tier 2 FL, MO
Tier 3 TX

[Spectator]

Cruz losing.

Brown got really lucky in 2018 and that won’t happen again. jD Vance was also a disaster and he still easily won.

[SnowLabrador]

Cruz losing.

Brown got really lucky in 2018 and that won’t happen again. jD Vance was also a disaster and he still easily won.

This. Also, all the other statewide elections in Ohio in 2022 were double-digit GOP victories. Brown isn't winning.

[coloradocowboi]

Cruz losing.

Brown got really lucky in 2018 and that won’t happen again. jD Vance was also a disaster and he still easily won.

This. Also, all the other statewide elections in Ohio in 2022 were double-digit GOP victories. Brown isn't winning.

Here we go again

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Cruz losing.

Brown got really lucky in 2018 and that won’t happen again. jD Vance was also a disaster and he still easily won.

LoL show me a poll that shows Brown losing there are NONE

[ProgressiveModerate]

Cruz losing.

Brown got really lucky in 2018 and that won’t happen again. jD Vance was also a disaster and he still easily won.

This. Also, all the other statewide elections in Ohio in 2022 were double-digit GOP victories. Brown isn't winning.

While I get where you're coming from and I agree TX is more likely to go D, the same was true in Texas in 2022.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Brown winning actually. I still think he can pull off another (albeit narrow) win under the right circumstances. Brown is the only Democrat who has won statewide since 2012, and he still may be the only one that can do so.

Taking out Cruz will probably require a national environment better than 2018.

[SnowLabrador]

Cruz losing.

Brown got really lucky in 2018 and that won’t happen again. jD Vance was also a disaster and he still easily won.

This. Also, all the other statewide elections in Ohio in 2022 were double-digit GOP victories. Brown isn't winning.

While I get where you're coming from and I agree TX is more likely to go D, the same was true in Texas in 2022.

Quite frankly, I might change my mind on this poll. Come to think of it, even indicted pervert Ken Paxton won by almost 10 points. My guess is that Cruz wins by something like 53-46, no matter how much Democrats blow on that race.

[S019]

My prediction is Cruz wins by 1 (Tossup) and Brown loses by 5 (Lean R in margin, Likely R in outcome).

[Spectator]

My prediction is Cruz wins by 1 (Tossup) and Brown loses by 5 (Lean R in margin, Likely R in outcome).

I think Cruz’s fate hinges almost entirely on two things:

1) does Biden face Trump again one on one? If so, bad for Cruz. Even a third party Trump run with DeSantis as the GOP nominee probably helps Cruz as an argument for a check on a likely Biden win.
2) the quality of Cruz’s opponent. It can’t be someone like Lina Hidalgo that liberals tout but has no crossover appeal. It needs to be someone kind of akin to Mark Kelly who is good at putting distance between themself and the national party (without going as far as Sinema and pissing off your base).

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

My prediction is Cruz wins by 1 (Tossup) and Brown loses by 5 (Lean R in margin, Likely R in outcome).

Yeah and you have Andy Beshear losing and he is up 9 pts on Cameron's

Ryan lost due to fact DeWine won by 24, RS aren't gonna win by 24

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

My prediction is Cruz wins by 1 (Tossup) and Brown loses by 5 (Lean R in margin, Likely R in outcome).

I think Cruz’s fate hinges almost entirely on two things:

1) does Biden face Trump again one on one? If so, bad for Cruz. Even a third party Trump run with DeSantis as the GOP nominee probably helps Cruz as an argument for a check on a likely Biden win.
2) the quality of Cruz’s opponent. It can’t be someone like Lina Hidalgo that liberals tout but has no crossover appeal. It needs to be someone kind of akin to Mark Kelly who is good at putting distance between themself and the national party (without going as far as Sinema and pissing off your base).

LoL he said Cameron was gonna win KY Gov he is down 9 in a MXDX poll to Beshear it's early but Beshear is clearly a 51/49 fav we know Appalachian polls overstated D's but if Beshear is up 9 it's gonna hold up 6 pts will go R and 3 pts are gonna stay D why due to blk voters in KY

[Bismarck]

Brown has a long track record. He’s more likely to lose than not but he isn’t going to get Blanched.

[Vespucci]

My prediction is Cruz wins by 1 (Tossup) and Brown loses by 5 (Lean R in margin, Likely R in outcome).

I think Cruz’s fate hinges almost entirely on two things:

1) does Biden face Trump again one on one? If so, bad for Cruz. Even a third party Trump run with DeSantis as the GOP nominee probably helps Cruz as an argument for a check on a likely Biden win.
2) the quality of Cruz’s opponent. It can’t be someone like Lina Hidalgo that liberals tout but has no crossover appeal. It needs to be someone kind of akin to Mark Kelly who is good at putting distance between themself and the national party (without going as far as Sinema and pissing off your base).

Hmmm....

https://twitter.com/StationCDRKelly/status/1347757679532339201