Schiff will probaly win.
Nadler leveraged his anti-Trump credentials to win a New York primary against a fellow incumbent.
Schiff will do the same.
I feel like Democratic primaries should be more than just "I'm more anti-Trump than he is" or "I'm more hated by Donald Trump / Republicans than she is."
I will also be disappointed if Schiff and Porter are the only two major contenders in 2024. I want to see a heated slugfest in the primary with lots of potential candidates (Ro Khanna as one of them, perhaps?).