Beasley's performance was shockingly good despite Dem turnout in NC (user search)
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  Beasley's performance was shockingly good despite Dem turnout in NC (search mode)
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Author Topic: Beasley's performance was shockingly good despite Dem turnout in NC  (Read 986 times)
Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,952
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« on: January 25, 2023, 01:05:17 PM »

Oddly enough she got essentially same percentage of the vote (47.27%) that Kay Hagan got in her re-election run in 2014 (47.26%)

Well that’s heartbreaking
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,952
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #1 on: January 25, 2023, 06:51:19 PM »

Cannot be understated how disastrous 2022 would have been for Democrats if not for their insane overperformance with independents & moderates.

I don’t understand you statement? I read it as;

“2022 would have been disastrous for democrats if they lost more votes”
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,952
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #2 on: January 26, 2023, 02:09:40 AM »

Cannot be understated how disastrous 2022 would have been for Democrats if not for their insane overperformance with independents & moderates.

I don’t understand you statement? I read it as;

“2022 would have been disastrous for democrats if they lost more votes”


Republicans had a significant turnout advantage compared to Democrats. 2022 was only a neutral cycle because Democrats did significantly better with independents than the President's party usually does in midterms.

Ah that makes more sense. Republicans have gone all in on their base.
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,952
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #3 on: January 27, 2023, 12:56:45 AM »

Had Dems more seriously invested here and had a serious turnout effort with black voters, Beasley may have been able to squeak out a win.

The very good news for Ds is metro Raleigh still swung left despite Budd being one of the more "normal" Rs, which suggests the leftwards shifts there are very reliable.

Most suburbanites seem to have come to the conclusion there are no “normal” republicans. And republicans seem in to hurry to convince them otherwise. Wake county is 53% college educated compared to 30% statewide.
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,952
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #4 on: January 27, 2023, 01:32:43 AM »

Had Dems more seriously invested here and had a serious turnout effort with black voters, Beasley may have been able to squeak out a win.

The very good news for Ds is metro Raleigh still swung left despite Budd being one of the more "normal" Rs, which suggests the leftwards shifts there are very reliable.

Most suburbanites seem to have come to the conclusion there are no “normal” republicans. And republicans seem in to hurry to convince them otherwise. Wake county is 53% college educated compared to 30% statewide.

Mhm, and that’s been increasing as Raleigh’s influence has dominated the County more and more.

The main issue for Dems is Wake County is only like 1/10th of the state.

North Carolina is weird in that it has a lot of room for growth all over the state, it’s not concentrated like Georgia. Greensboro, Wilmington, Asheville, are all growing.
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