Are the recent trends in Harrisburg and Grand Rapids underrated? (user search)
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  Are the recent trends in Harrisburg and Grand Rapids underrated? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Are the recent trends in Harrisburg and Grand Rapids underrated?  (Read 1632 times)
Devils30
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« on: December 29, 2022, 02:49:33 PM »
« edited: December 29, 2022, 02:56:26 PM by Devils30 »

Much of the media has (rightly) focused on Democratic gains in the Phoenix and Atlanta suburbs and GOP gains in the Mahoning Valley, parts of Florida (and Miami-Dade).

However, you see nearly no coverage of the recent Democratic trends in Grand Rapids and Harrisburg. These are not sexy cities but the GOP's recent slippage might completely screw them statewide. Kent County went from Trump +3 to Biden +6 to Dems by double digits in all of the statewide races. Ottawa also had a considerable swing to the left. In PA, Cumberland used to be one of the reddest counties in the state. It went from Trump +18 to Trump +10.5 to Oz +5 and Shapiro carried it by 8.

The GOP cannot slip in these places and win the state even with gigantic margins out of places like Fayette, Cambria, Greene.  

Meanwhile, Wisconsin does not have anything like these two medium sized cities. Green Bay is much smaller than these two and not as educated. Dems' 2020 path is probably MI PA and one of GA/AZ instead of WI.
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Devils30
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Posts: 4,987
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #1 on: December 30, 2022, 10:47:54 PM »

Much of the media has (rightly) focused on Democratic gains in the Phoenix and Atlanta suburbs and GOP gains in the Mahoning Valley, parts of Florida (and Miami-Dade).

However, you see nearly no coverage of the recent Democratic trends in Grand Rapids …

Neighboring Muskegon County, Michigan is trending toward the Republicans.

There is a lack of acknowledgment, and it is intentional, to not mention how some counties long-established as aligned to, say, Party A are trending toward Party B…and long-established as aligned to Party B trending toward Party A.

To get into this…that would also involve having to acknowledge realigning voting patterns in direct connection to each of the two major U.S. political parties. What some would prefer to do is only focus on racial demographics…and pretty much state that that explains it all.


The problem is Muskegon is about 1/4 the size of Kent and 60% of Ottawa (which is deep red but trending Dem).
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