1924: Al Smith the Democratic nominee
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  1924: Al Smith the Democratic nominee
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Author Topic: 1924: Al Smith the Democratic nominee  (Read 782 times)
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LeonelBrizola
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« on: December 15, 2022, 06:15:52 PM »

I guess he'd only win the Deep South, NC and TN
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Liminal Trans Girl
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« Reply #1 on: December 16, 2022, 11:23:11 AM »

LaFollette would give Smith the endorsement, I think
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LeonelBrizola
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« Reply #2 on: December 16, 2022, 12:38:28 PM »

LaFollette would give Smith the endorsement, I think
But his religion would also be an issue
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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #3 on: December 24, 2022, 12:19:14 PM »

Smith would have had to deal with the pro-KKK and anti-Catholic sentiment that took over much of the country by 1924.  The 1924 Democratic convention was truly destructive, and Smith never commanded more than 1/3 of the vote throughout the 103 ballots.

He would have probably done similar to 1928--winning Deep South states and possibly New York and Connecticut.  In the 1924 New York gubernatorial race, Smith ran about 1 million votes ahead of John Davis and won reelection by a fair margin.  And he may have held Texas as well--Miriam Ferguson, the anti-Klan candidate for governor, won election that year. 

The 103rd Ballot by Robert Murray (who was a professor of American history at Penn State for many years) is an excellent book and gives a great account of the 1924 and 1928 elections and American life in the 1920s. 

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mianfei
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« Reply #4 on: February 28, 2023, 08:18:24 AM »

Even if LaFollette gave Smith the endorsement, he would have struggled with his religion, possibly more even than he actually did in 1928. In the aftermath of the Immigration Act of 1924, Smith might have done better than he actually did in the Northeast, possibly carrying New York and Connecticut as well as Massachusetts and Rhode Island, but possibly just as badly in the South and the West.
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #5 on: March 06, 2023, 11:32:35 AM »

Even if LaFollette gave Smith the endorsement, he would have struggled with his religion, possibly more even than he actually did in 1928. In the aftermath of the Immigration Act of 1924, Smith might have done better than he actually did in the Northeast, possibly carrying New York and Connecticut as well as Massachusetts and Rhode Island, but possibly just as badly in the South and the West.
Seems about right. I would say about the same as 1928 with the exception of New York and Connecticut going to Al Smith and Calvin Coolidge picking up Alabama, Georgia, and maybe Arkansas if he plays his cards right. Not sure how the African American vote would have stacked up in a Coolidge vs. Smith race.
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