Political Future of the 10 Pro-Impeachment House Republicans?

[ShadowRocket]

Dan Newhouse and David Valadao both one won reelection this year. Cheney and Kinzinger are probably done.

But what about Peter Meijer and Anthony Gonzalez who are both still young?

[BenjiG98]

Meijer has been floated as a possibility to run for his old seat again in 2024 (unlikely to happen or go anywhere) and Gonzalez has an MBA so I imagine he'll do get involved in some kind of business and probably won't run for office again.

[Zenobiyl]

Newhouse probably goes down in the primary in 2024, and Valadao wins the primary and is slightly favored in the general.

[Tekken_Guy]

Newhouse probably goes down in the primary in 2024, and Valadao wins the primary and is slightly favored in the general.

Are you forgetting about jungle primaries? Newhouse finished first in the 2022 jungle with only a single Democrat in the race, so he should make it into the top two fairly easily.

Is Smiley expected to run? She ran as a fairly establishment GOP figure in the senate race and I'm not sure she'd actually go for the seat unless Newhouse retired, or that she'd clear the anti-Newhouse lane for herself if he does run.

[Zenobiyl]

Newhouse probably goes down in the primary in 2024, and Valadao wins the primary and is slightly favored in the general.

Are you forgetting about jungle primaries? Newhouse finished first in the 2022 jungle with only a single Democrat in the race, so he should make it into the top two fairly easily.

Is Smiley expected to run? She ran as a fairly establishment GOP figure in the senate race and I'm not sure she'd actually go for the seat unless Newhouse retired, or that she'd clear the anti-Newhouse lane for herself if he does run.

The anti-Newhouse R vote was split 3 ways. I'm guessing they'll learn their lesson and coalesce around one candidate next time.

[2016]

Valadao only wins the GE if there are enough Ticket Splitters like there were in 2020.

And Newhouse is approaching his 70ties. Tiffany Smiley is from his District.

[Tekken_Guy]

Newhouse probably goes down in the primary in 2024, and Valadao wins the primary and is slightly favored in the general.

Are you forgetting about jungle primaries? Newhouse finished first in the 2022 jungle with only a single Democrat in the race, so he should make it into the top two fairly easily.

Is Smiley expected to run? She ran as a fairly establishment GOP figure in the senate race and I'm not sure she'd actually go for the seat unless Newhouse retired, or that she'd clear the anti-Newhouse lane for herself if he does run.

The anti-Newhouse R vote was split 3 ways. I'm guessing they'll learn their lesson and coalesce around one candidate next time.

Newhouse still finished ahead of the one Democrat so he’d be favored to make the top two next time.