Political future of Georgia prediction
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  Political future of Georgia prediction
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Vice President Christian Man
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Junior Chimp
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« on: December 09, 2022, 03:27:01 AM »

I think that it will end up being the inverse of what it used to be, around 10-15 points more Democratic than the P.V. but with a Rep floor of around 40% due to the the Dems still having room to fall in some of the rural.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #1 on: December 09, 2022, 12:31:48 PM »

Rural GA is still a pretty substantial part of the states population, so I think it would be hard for Rs to fall below 40% unless coalitions dramatically change or Atlanta swallows the entire northern part of the state.

With that being said, most if the Dem gains are coming from black and liberal whites which are both very reliable D voting blocks, and as long as that continues it’s hard to see GA going back to being R leaning.

Think it becomes a bit like VA; swings a bit left every cycle but internal counter trends prevent a “zoom” left like has happened in CO.
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