Kim and maybe Valadao and Duarte depending on their challengers. I think Valadao’s performance won’t look as impressive when the results by CD of the gubernatorial and Senate race come out. I think Dahle and Meuser clearly did better than him.
I don’t see how the others survive Biden winning the state by another 30 point margin again compared to the pretty small margins Newsom and Padilla won by.
I would not assume this. The evidence suggests California has peaked for Dems and would be notably closer than 2020 in a similar nationwide result.
What evidence is that? If you’re basing it on midterm performance, I strongly disagree since we routinely see every cycle that Dems do considerably better in presidential years than in midterms.
Except for 2020, when they did worse than 2018.
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