Kim and maybe Valadao and Duarte depending on their challengers. I think Valadao’s performance won’t look as impressive when the results by CD of the gubernatorial and Senate race come out. I think Dahle and Meuser clearly did better than him.
I don’t see how the others survive Biden winning the state by another 30 point margin again compared to the pretty small margins Newsom and Padilla won by.
I would not assume this. The evidence suggests California has peaked for Dems and would be notably closer than 2020 in a similar nationwide result.
What evidence is that? If you’re basing it on midterm performance, I strongly disagree since we routinely see every cycle that Dems do considerably better in presidential years than in midterms.
Not only that, if midterm performance is the main evidence, 2014 was arguably a worse year for California Dems.
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