What state votes further right, Florida or Ohio?

[ProgressiveModerate]

Still leaning Florida. As a poster above pointed out, part of the reason Dems suffered so badly in FL this cycle was that turnout was extremely lopsided towards the R party and in a full Pres year reguardless of how much Dems invest, things should equalize a bit.

With that being said, I think the 2022 results have shown that in a Pres year, an R winning Florida by a lopsided 10% on the federal level isn't totally impossible.

Ohio on the other hand tends to be a bit more "stable" in it's voting patterns at the federal level. This is because of the pretty extreme urban-rural divide, and even within urban areas a pretty notable black-white divide. You also have very clear examples of internal countershifts like Columbus and Cinci which have in 2020 at least offset Trump's further gains in rural and Northeastern OH. Ohio also just has slightly more "normal" politics and geography whereas Florida has a lot of wild politics and demographics that can be hard to predict.

In other words, I think FL still narrowly votes to the left of OH, but FL has a much wider range of possible outcomes than OH.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Still leaning Florida. As a poster above pointed out, part of the reason Dems suffered so badly in FL this cycle was that turnout was extremely lopsided towards the R party and in a full Pres year reguardless of how much Dems invest, things should equalize a bit.

With that being said, I think the 2022 results have shown that in a Pres year, an R winning Florida by a lopsided 10% on the federal level isn't totally impossible.

Ohio on the other hand tends to be a bit more "stable" in it's voting patterns at the federal level. This is because of the pretty extreme urban-rural divide, and even within urban areas a pretty notable black-white divide. You also have very clear examples of internal countershifts like Columbus and Cinci which have in 2020 at least offset Trump's further gains in rural and Northeastern OH. Ohio also just has slightly more "normal" politics and geography whereas Florida has a lot of wild politics and demographics that can be hard to predict.

In other words, I think FL still narrowly votes to the left of OH, but FL has a much wider range of possible outcomes than OH.

The question asked which votes right, not left.

Oops lol