It's Arizona. Don't be fooled by 2022. The Republican candidates could not have been worse suited to win Arizona.
A critical if small voting bloc has solidified toward Ds here, though. They are McCain people who have been all but cast aside by the Republican Party and have voted D in 2018, 2020, 2022. It’s not like 2022 is a one-off phenomenon to be “fooled by.” In fact, it’s instructive that these folks went from voting D for an office or two to voting for them for almost every office…
Barring something exceptional, I don’t know what would bring them back into the fold. Like sure they voted for Kimberly Yee, but they’re not voting for Donald Trump or Ron de Santis doing Trump cosplay.
