Does Georgia or Arizona flip first?

[MargieCat]

I think Arizona will vote to the left of Georgia in 2024.

I might have said the opposite pre-November 8th.

But it's very easy to vote in Arizona, with most voters on the PEVL. Ducey did not pass any massive voter suppression laws, except starting to purge non-active voters from the PEVL starting in 2026.

With Katie Hobbs taking office and I believe only one-seat GOP majorities in both chambers, it doesn't seem likely any voter suppression laws can pass.

I fully expect Kemp and the state legislature to find even more ways to make it harder to vote in Georgia, next legislative session.