Unpopular take; Trump is still a stronger R nominee than DeSantis (user search)
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  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Unpopular take; Trump is still a stronger R nominee than DeSantis (search mode)
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Author Topic: Unpopular take; Trump is still a stronger R nominee than DeSantis  (Read 1766 times)
President Johnson
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Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


« on: November 30, 2022, 02:43:23 PM »

Valid points.

As to the general question on electability, I think the big question mark with regard to DeSantis is whether he can appeal to enough voters in the Rust Belt trio. Flipping at least one of them - better two - is very much essential for a path to 270. The results of 2022 show that it's more difficult for other Republicans to win here. Ironically, I tend to believe DeSantis would be better suited in a popular vote election, while the current Electoral College is better for Trump to advance.

Of course, this post may age like milk, it's just that I feel this way at this moment in time.
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President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,918
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


« Reply #1 on: November 30, 2022, 02:51:41 PM »
« Edited: November 30, 2022, 03:37:51 PM by President Johnson »

Former President Donald Trump Favorables/Unfavorables in Battleground States (Courtesy: 2022 Exit Polls)

OHIO = Trump 44 / 53

NORTH CAROLINA = 43 / 53

Just two States as an example that Trump can't win.



Trump won the 2016 election with something like 36% favorabilities. He's certainly going to win Ohio again in 2024 and would be highly competitive in North Carolina as well. Favorabilities don't mean all too much.
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