I remember someone speculating that heightened exhaustion with this era of politics, the guy's mental decay, and non conspiracy addict Republicans being turned off by election denial could see a Kemp-sized swing to Biden from last election. Something like a three-point swing, which felt both pessimistic and optimistic at the same time.
I'm not sure I buy the argument, but this, I'm pretty sure would hit harder than that. Trump accepting the bitch spot for Kanye would make him a laughing stock and point to serious mental decay coinciding with the top of the ticket somehow getting custody of him away from his children. Kanye himself would be an exhausting nominee. They might try to go after the Democrats on their imperfect racial history, but the conversation is going to be on an unpredictable manic theocrat who is attacking Jewish people, and there isn't anyone sensible who will vote for the guy. Wouldn't be shocked to see a Republican splinter ticket from Cheney or Kinzinger, but maybe they're traumatized and will tell everyone to vote for Biden. And there'll be some conservatives who won't vote for Kanye for other reasons, even if they were thrilled to try to use someone mentally ill to attack Democrats.
Democrats in the mid high 50s and Republicans in the very low 40s, barring a major third party? Anything more than that feels impossible, but maybe this is the election that would break polarization. I could see some Democrats near sweeping against this ticket... maybe not this one?
Agreed, tbh I wouldn’t rule out the possibility of Obama’s 2012 map+Biden’s 2020 map for Democrats and possibly even a few unexpected states ending up in play like Alaska and Utah.