California post-election analysis thread (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 29, 2024, 03:11:17 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  California post-election analysis thread (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: California post-election analysis thread  (Read 6817 times)
Spectator
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,382
United States


« on: November 23, 2022, 01:19:21 PM »

Really wanna see Gov and Sen by House district to see how sh**tty Newsom and Padilla did.
Logged
Spectator
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,382
United States


« Reply #1 on: November 23, 2022, 04:07:04 PM »

Also decided to see how Chen did, seems like he really did improve his post primary vote share by a decent amount. Currently losing by a tad under 11. Basically there seems to be little no overperformance of Dahle in Inland counties but he did improve in coastal/bay area counties .  The biggest overperformance of Dahle seems to be actually San Francisco where he nearly doubled Dahle's vote share from 14.6 to 24.1.  He still overperformed in Coastal Socal by a few points but not by much.

There's a scattering of SF precicnts in the SW and SE which are the most Asian along with the Marina district where Chen got to the lower 40's.

I remember hearing the argument that people should vote for Chen because it's better to have a member of the opposite party in a non-policy setting auditing role. No idea how many votes that swayed but it's food for thought.


That is a really bizarre argument. How is the minority party supposed to be auditing/holding accountable the majority in the House? The House is simply not set up that way.
Logged
Spectator
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,382
United States


« Reply #2 on: November 23, 2022, 04:36:30 PM »

Also decided to see how Chen did, seems like he really did improve his post primary vote share by a decent amount. Currently losing by a tad under 11. Basically there seems to be little no overperformance of Dahle in Inland counties but he did improve in coastal/bay area counties .  The biggest overperformance of Dahle seems to be actually San Francisco where he nearly doubled Dahle's vote share from 14.6 to 24.1.  He still overperformed in Coastal Socal by a few points but not by much.

There's a scattering of SF precicnts in the SW and SE which are the most Asian along with the Marina district where Chen got to the lower 40's.

I remember hearing the argument that people should vote for Chen because it's better to have a member of the opposite party in a non-policy setting auditing role. No idea how many votes that swayed but it's food for thought.


That is a really bizarre argument. How is the minority party supposed to be auditing/holding accountable the majority in the House? The House is simply not set up that way.

Lanhee Chen ran for state controller . Its a pretty decent argument and Chen did win every newspaper endorsement . Iirc the Dem was of fairly poor quality as well.

Oh my bad I was thinking of CA-45
Logged
Spectator
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,382
United States


« Reply #3 on: December 19, 2022, 04:12:42 PM »

Hurtado's victory in SD-16 is impressive in light of SD-16 being to the right of CA-22 by a decent amount.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.02 seconds with 12 queries.