California post-election analysis thread (user search)
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  California post-election analysis thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: California post-election analysis thread  (Read 6840 times)
lfromnj
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« on: November 23, 2022, 01:48:18 PM »
« edited: November 23, 2022, 04:26:55 PM by lfromnj »

Also decided to see how Chen did, seems like he really did improve his post primary vote share by a decent amount. Currently losing by a tad under 11. Basically there seems to be little no overperformance of Dahle in Inland counties but he did improve in coastal/bay area counties .  The biggest overperformance of Dahle seems to be actually San Francisco where he nearly doubled Dahle's vote share from 14.6 to 24.1.  He still overperformed in Coastal Socal by a few points but not by much.

There's a scattering of SF precicnts in the SW and SE which are the most Asian along with the Marina* district where Chen got to the lower 40's.

Marina district is basically the upper east side of San Francisco. Rich white and ancestrally R to a degree.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #1 on: November 23, 2022, 04:26:12 PM »

Also decided to see how Chen did, seems like he really did improve his post primary vote share by a decent amount. Currently losing by a tad under 11. Basically there seems to be little no overperformance of Dahle in Inland counties but he did improve in coastal/bay area counties .  The biggest overperformance of Dahle seems to be actually San Francisco where he nearly doubled Dahle's vote share from 14.6 to 24.1.  He still overperformed in Coastal Socal by a few points but not by much.

There's a scattering of SF precicnts in the SW and SE which are the most Asian along with the Marina district where Chen got to the lower 40's.

I remember hearing the argument that people should vote for Chen because it's better to have a member of the opposite party in a non-policy setting auditing role. No idea how many votes that swayed but it's food for thought.


That is a really bizarre argument. How is the minority party supposed to be auditing/holding accountable the majority in the House? The House is simply not set up that way.

Lanhee Chen ran for state controller . Its a pretty decent argument and Chen did win every newspaper endorsement . Iirc the Dem was of fairly poor quality as well.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #2 on: December 19, 2022, 02:33:10 PM »



Christy Smith barely managed to outperform the Dem auditor candidate who barely won by double digits statewide.
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