IA Neighborhood Research: DeSantis +2

[Sir Mohamed]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1595232566851796992

[Spectator]

Not good for DeSantis since he's coming off a post-election high.

[Ljube]

Not good for DeSantis since he's coming off a post-election high.

Very good for DeSantis since he can only go up.

[Sir Mohamed]

Not good for DeSantis since he's coming off a post-election high.

Very good for DeSantis since he can only go up.

Because no other hyped candidate ever imploded after getting into the race? I'm not saying he's going to, but it can't be ruled out.

I guess this poll is solid for DeSantis, but a lot can happen between now and February 2024.

[Sir Mohamed]

Not good for DeSantis since he's coming off a post-election high.

TBF, Trump could also be having a post-announcement high.

Yup, though his announcement was way too lame and low energy to create any real enthusiasm. Mr. Trump is past his prime and people are exhausted.

[oldtimer]

If Ted Cruz won state X so can DeSantis.
But whatabout the states Cruz lost?

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

If Ted Cruz won state X so can DeSantis.
But whatabout the states Cruz lost?

Like GA and Florida?

[Vosem]

If Ted Cruz won state X so can DeSantis.
But whatabout the states Cruz lost?

This feels like weird logic; much of Cruz's base has gone over to Trump in polling.

(The commonality between their strategy will remain that Trump does poorly with the most informed and enthusiastic voters, so he will invariably underperform in caucuses. These voters broke for Cruz in 2016 and are quite winnable for DeSantis, but there probably isn't going to be a general one-to-one translation where everybody who voted Cruz automatically backs DeSantis this time around.)

[Crackerjack McJohnson]

It always bewildered me that Cruz did so well in Wisconsin.  I thought that was big time TRUMP COUNTRY!  Maybe all those Trump voters that rejected Hillary were Democrats pissed off about how she did NAFTA, and the Republicans were all churchey-types mad about how Trump said **** at his speech.  Cruz is a zodiac murderer though and THOU SHALT NOT KILL so who knows???