FL (Victory Insights): Biden+2 (v. Trump), DeSantis+6

[2016]

FL is still a BATTLEGROUND ST

No, it isn't. Even Biden would lose FL.

[2016]

FL is still a BATTLEGROUND ST

No, it isn't. Even Biden would lose FL.

Lol in a Prez yr Miami Dade isn't going R Biden won it by 10 pts in 2020

Republicans don't need Dade County in a Pres Year but if they win Pinellas & Hillsborough they win. Simple Math my friend. Republicans also have a 305,000 Registration Advantage over Democrats in Florida so unless Biden pulls a rabbit out of his hat FLORIDA is gone. Republicans will continue to outregister Democrats in FL because of DeSantis Policies. Democrats could face a Registration Deficit of about 500,000 Voters in FL. Now tell me how they are gonna make this up? They basically have to bank on Republicans staying home and certainly in FL they won't do that I can guarantee you that.

[2016]

The Florida Republican Party added yet another 20,000 newly Registered Voters in a 20-Day Period between October 11th (Book Closing Report for the Nov 8 GE and October 31)

R - 5,297,121
D - 4,970,554
Minor Parties - 263,352
NPA - 4,008,962
Total Reg Voters FL - 14,539,989
R-lead - 326,567

[2016]

Seems like trash but Rs will not win FL by 15 in a presidential year. Dems flat out didn't care this election.

They will not win it by 15 BUT they could certainly win by 5-7 Points which would be a landslide by Florida Standards in a Presidential Year.

The Trendlines for Democrats in FL are absolutely disastrous. Unless Registrations in FL miraculously change Republicans will have an Registration Advantage in Florida that will be more what Democrats currently have in Pennsylvania. Think about that. Currently D's own a 560,000 to 570,000 Registration Advantage in PA.

There is a good chance Florida won't be contested since Democrats can win the White House without it. Why spent $$$$ in Florida when you can win without it?

[2016]

Seems like trash but Rs will not win FL by 15 in a presidential year. Dems flat out didn't care this election.

They will not win it by 15 BUT they could certainly win by 5-7 Points which would be a landslide by Florida Standards in a Presidential Year.

The Trendlines for Democrats in FL are absolutely disastrous. Unless Registrations in FL miraculously change Republicans will have an Registration Advantage in Florida that will be more what Democrats currently have in Pennsylvania. Think about that. Currently D's own a 560,000 to 570,000 Registration Advantage in PA.

There is a good chance Florida won't be contested since Democrats can win the White House without it. Why spent $$$$ in Florida when you can win without it?

The Senate seat.  Not that I think either the Senate or Pres race in FL will go D, but they almost have to put some money in FL since their only other potential Senate pickup opportunity is TX.

They did put 70 million this year for the senate .

Emilys List & Moveon.org put 40M $ into the FL Senate Race this year to no avail + Rick Scott is very wealthy and can self finance meaning it frees up incoming NRSC Chair Steve Daines to spent the money elsewhere.
I am pretty convinced that Scott will win by more then in 2018 and Trump will win by more then 2020 in FL. FL is a complete MAGA State now.