ME-Senate 2024: Return of the King?

[Unbeatable Titan Susan Collins]

Discuss the Maine senate race here.

Angus King said he will decide early next year whether to run for reelection.

https://www.politico.com/news/2022/10/05/senate-dems-reelection-00060062

Jared Golden seems the obvious choice to run to replace him should he would retire and he would likely win by a large margin. Similarly I expect King should he run to win rather comfortably.

Another democrat may have more of a race of their hands.  

[Unbeatable Titan Susan Collins]

What makes people think Troy Jackson is a particularly strong candidate?

[Unbeatable Titan Susan Collins]

Using the numbers posted on Bangor Daily News, it turns out that Golden did in fact lose Troy Jackson’s state senate district. Jackson was seriously challenged by a sitting Republican State Representative so his win makes it all the more impressive, especially outperforming even Golden by what looks like 8%, pre-RCV.

8,433  49.4%   Poliquin
7,736  45.3%   Golden
901     5.3%     Bond

Well Jackson did outperform him. It will by significantly less than 8 points as Bond voters are much more likely to have ranked Golden 2nd. It will probably be a 2-3% overperformance in the end. (Bond voters put Golden over the line in 2018)

[Unbeatable Titan Susan Collins]

https://twitter.com/j_mundry/status/1598349179578994689

If King runs again, who will the real Dem be?

Zak Ringelstein again?

Betsey Sweet maybe?

King will win, if he runs. Only real question is if he gets put under 50% first round(I doubt it)