PA-SEN 2024 megathread

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Malcolm Kenyatta or Summer Lee should primary out Bob Casey

Casey would get >95% of the vote against both of them.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Likely D race. Casey is an institution in this state and the Republicans don't really have a bench of viable candidates to seriously challenge him. Of course, they could find an unexpectedly strong candidate out of nowhere who could make this a race, but right now, McCormick, Fitzpatrick, and DeFoor would likely be their best options, and Casey would still probably beat them quite comfortably.

Besides DeFoor, the only other elected statewide Republican is Stacy Garrity, and she's a Stop the Steal nut job. Casey would crush her.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Likely D race. Casey is an institution in this state and the Republicans don't really have a bench of viable candidates to seriously challenge him. Of course, they could find an unexpectedly strong candidate out of nowhere who could make this a race, but right now, McCormick, Fitzpatrick, and DeFoor would likely be their best options, and Casey would still probably beat them quite comfortably.

Besides DeFoor, the only other elected statewide Republican is Stacy Garrity, and she's a Stop the Steal nut job. Casey would crush her.

McCormick would be a disaster. Imo only Fitzpatrick/DeFoor would have a prayer of even coming close

On second thought, you're right, McCormick would be pretty bad. A carpetbagging, out-of-touch, wealthy elitist being pitted against a popular incumbent who is strongly established within the state. It'd be a repeat of the Oz-Fetterman race where the former struggled because he was also an out-of-touch, out-of-state, rich, coastal elite running against a bonafide Pennsylvanian.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

A Casey +10 final result isn’t too unrealistic tbh. Maybe if he beats McCormick soundly enough, his coattails can extend to Biden.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Hot take: He's a worse candidate than Oz.

https://twitter.com/dabbs346/status/1709219408734814245?s=20

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

So cringey. I'm feeling pretty good about my prediction of him being a worse candidate than Dr Oz.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

NRSC/GOP groups seem downright obsessed with this race from a quick look at their Twitter. I get that defining Casey early is important, but I can’t believe they’re prioritizing this over NV and have released more ads on Casey than Tester/Brown.

Plus Casey has been in the Senate for 17 years, he's already well defined in the eyes of voters. Rosen is much newer and presents a better opportunity for them to chip away at a vulnerable incumbent's image.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Honestly, if the PAGOP lose this one, they will have lost three easily winnable races in a row because they've no high tier candidates. For crying out loud, they somehow managed to lose a Senate race to a guy who had to take time off because of a stroke.

Wouldn’t really call this race “easily winnable”.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

How he managed to solidify himself as a more out-of-touch candidate than Dr. Oz is quite an achievement.