2024 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread

[S019]

Hines is really trying to give it another go:

https://twitter.com/JakeSherman/status/1594716591148736514

Will probably get a safe seat after re-redistricting.

For reference, the struck down seat was Trump+7, Robinson+7, Tillis+6, O’Neill+4, Forest+0. So Democrats other than Cooper struggled here but it isn’t red enough that Wiley would be totally DOA, probably Likely R.

[S019]

On the flipside, I feel like the initial Republican target list might look something like this:

AK-AL (Peltola)
CA-47 (Porter)
CO-08 (Caraveo)
CT-05 (Hayes)
FL-23 (Moskowitz)
IL-17 (Sorenson)
ME-02 (Golden)
MI-03 (Scholten)
MI-07 (Slotkin)
MI-08 (Kildee)
MN-02 (Craig)
NH-01 (Pappas)
NJ-03 (Kim)
NM-02 (Vasquez)
NY-18 (Ryan)
OH-09 (Kaptur)
OH-13 (Sykes)
OR-06 (Salinas)
PA-07 (Wild)
PA-08 (Cartwright)
PA-17 (DeLuzio)
RI-02 (Magaziner)
TX-34 (Gonzalez)
VA-07 (Spanberger)
WA-03 (Gluesenkamp Perez)
WA-08 (Schrier)

Most of these bolded ones are stretch seats and some are outright ridiculous (TX-34, NJ-03, MI-03), also seats like RI-02 and FL-23 probably won't be competitive again.

[S019]

From Joe Kent's Twitter, it seems he's already got the backing of 4 country GOPs.
That's good because it means hopefully there won't be a divisive primary, which is what hurt him last time. McCarthy literally funnelled millions into attack ads on him that said he supported Bernie Sanders and Adolf Hitler completely unironically.

Joe Kent is one of the few people who could lose the seat again for Republicans lol. If Republicans were smart, they'd ask JHB to come back.