2024 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/NickforAlaska/status/1679513657519243265

[Spectator]

https://twitter.com/NickforAlaska/status/1679513657519243265

One of the weaker people Peltola could face.

[Lambsbread]

https://twitter.com/NickforAlaska/status/1679513657519243265

One L just wasn't enough for ole Nick.

[Spectator]

https://twitter.com/NickforAlaska/status/1679513657519243265

One L just wasn't enough for ole Nick.

Two Ls

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Dems land their top recruit in NY-22 in State Senator John Mannion.

https://www.syracuse.com/politics/cny/2023/07/state-sen-john-mannion-will-launch-bid-for-central-new-york-seat-in-congress.html?outputType=amp

It's early, but I feel like NY Dems are starting to pull it together. The candidates so far have all been pretty solid.

[Roll Roons]

https://twitter.com/NikkiLaurenzo/status/1679986366200037376

Tough race, but he is an A+ recruit.

[Roll Roons]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1680254248771276800

With the caveat that there are still a number of members who haven't reported, battleground district House Republicans are off to a much faster start than their Democratic counterparts. I guess WinRed really did help to even the playing field in terms of small dollar fundraising.

[Lambsbread]

I just got an email from Joe Signorello that he’s ending his Senate campaign and running for NJ-7 instead. I’m bummed because I’m not very bullish on our chances of flipping that seat and I thought Sue Altman seemed like a fine candidate either way. Bob Menendez deserves a real challenge this time and I thought Joe could be the one to do it. Shame.

[Spectator]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1680254248771276800
With the caveat that there are still a number of members who haven't reported, battleground district House Republicans are off to a much faster start than their Democratic counterparts. I guess WinRed really did help to even the playing field in terms of small dollar fundraising.

I wonder if there’s a relation to many of the House Democrats feeling pretty safe (there’s only five in Trump seats vice 18 in Republicans in Biden seats), and feeling that if they survived 2022, they may not feel the need to fundraise as much? I don’t know, that’s my theory for the incumbents discrepancy.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As I caution Ds when they think Kunce, Brown and ALLRED and Presley, and Shawn Wilson losing everything isn't gonna flow in 303 package it did in 22 but we also won KS 22 the Approvals are wrong they have Biden at 43 and he leads in state by state polls 52 if Biden is at 50 percentage pts Eday over and it doesn't matter if it's 303 or 415

But Rev Barber cautious about FL that's the only red state you shouldn't donate to but MO, TX, OH. And NC are fine because of Ron DeSantis popularity not with blks but Cubans and FL already has a Cuban Embargo on it.


There is no nominee anyways in FL we have a weak Bench in FL since Demings isn't running because it's so expensive to run on FL she can't afford to run again

Cornyn is vulnerable too Rodriguez once he loses in 24 and he will he can run against Cornyn, Cornyn may retire ANYWAYS

[Pollster]

https://twitter.com/jamesd0wns/status/1681255506084503554?s=20

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Scott is 4 in FL and Brown is leading a landslide is possible, I told you guys it's not just a 303 map we won AK and KS in a Neutral Environment

[wbrocks67]

YouGov/Economist GCB

D+4, 42-38

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/ay6e0ph68l/econTabReport.pdfhttps://docs.cdn.yougov.com/ay6e0ph68l/econTabReport.pdf

[Roll Roons]

https://twitter.com/allymutnick/status/1681669011707142151

Though it should be noted that a lot of times, primary internals can be very unreliable.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The ABC poll that showed that voters support Affirmative Action being overturned was wrong because Trump numbers have gotten worse

That's why it's back to a nut map Scott is only ahead 4 Biden isn't 10 down in FL and not 8 down in NC

Trump was ahead in a lot of GE polls now he is behind

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://www.cnn.com/2023/07/19/politics/hakeem-jeffries-fundraising-numbers/index.html

Jeffries outraoses McCarthy McCarthy keeps attacking DOJ on Trump charges and he is Speaker and Rep for CA not TX or FL

[Pollster]

Flew under the radar yesterday, but Dems appear to be making a serious run at Huizenga.

https://twitter.com/DKElections/status/1681774682297565185?s=20

[Roll Roons]

https://twitter.com/jacobkornbluh/status/1681829854566555651

[Lambsbread]

https://twitter.com/jacobkornbluh/status/1681829854566555651

Lmao. I thought it was blue no matter who?

[Minnesota Mike]

https://twitter.com/jacobkornbluh/status/1681829854566555651

Lmao. I thought it was blue no matter who?

"Blue no matter who" is a general election thing, contested primaries are completely different.

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/jacobkornbluh/status/1681829854566555651

Lmao. I thought it was blue no matter who?

"Blue no matter who" is a general election thing, contested primaries are completely different.

Yeah that original comment makes no sense

[Lambsbread]

https://twitter.com/jacobkornbluh/status/1681829854566555651

Lmao. I thought it was blue no matter who?

"Blue no matter who" is a general election thing, contested primaries are completely different.

Yeah that original comment makes no sense

My point is that whenever progressives primary entrenched incumbents, we always hear about how it's destructive to party unity and the incumbent is "good enough" so the progressives should just get on board and deal with it. Doesn't seem to be the case when the establishment wants to primary a progressive, though.

[Pollster]

https://twitter.com/SJVSun/status/1683527717046632449?s=20

[GALeftist]

https://twitter.com/SJVSun/status/1683527717046632449?s=20

Seeing a bunch of Twitter (X?) commentary that is very off base; not that I suspect anything here would be comparable, but I thought I'd head it off nevertheless. Hurtado's district is basically a bigger, and therefore less blue, CA-22; her winning her Biden+8 seat while Newsom lost it by double digits, even if the win was narrow, in 2022 was extremely impressive. Probably the best possible recruit for this seat.

[Spectator]

https://twitter.com/SJVSun/status/1683527717046632449?s=20

Seeing a bunch of Twitter (X?) commentary that is very off base; not that I suspect anything here would be comparable, but I thought I'd head it off nevertheless. Hurtado's district is basically a bigger, and therefore less blue, CA-22; her winning her Biden+8 seat while Newsom lost it by double digits, even if the win was narrow, in 2022 was extremely impressive. Probably the best possible recruit for this seat.

I’m shocked that she’s running with Salas already running again. I would have thought they’d coordinate it. Yes, Hurtado’s win in 2022, even with how thin it was, was extremely impressive. Much like John Mannion’s in the state senate district that overlaps NY-22 while Hochul and most other Dems lost it.