2024 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread
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Author Topic: 2024 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread  (Read 43702 times)
wbrocks67
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« Reply #300 on: June 28, 2023, 08:32:33 AM »
Not sure it was posted here, but Dems were +2 in the GCB in the NBC News poll from this weekend, 48-46.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #301 on: June 29, 2023, 08:57:34 AM »

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wbrocks67
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« Reply #302 on: June 29, 2023, 09:08:13 AM »
GCB is D+1 in YouGov/Economist, 41-40

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/01qmicwezl/econTabReport.pdf

Cygnal has it R+1, 46-45
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #303 on: July 03, 2023, 10:40:32 AM »
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Pollster
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« Reply #304 on: July 05, 2023, 06:53:30 AM »
« Edited: July 05, 2023, 06:58:35 AM by Pollster »
It's that time of year again...post-4th of July off-year Congressional announcement time.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #305 on: July 05, 2023, 07:50:16 AM »
The H is gone for Rs
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #306 on: July 05, 2023, 09:05:11 AM »
« Edited: July 05, 2023, 09:49:20 AM by wbrocks67 »
Senate Q2 fundraising:
Adam Schiff (D-CA): $8.1M
Collin Alred (D-TX): $6.2M
Bob Casey (D-PA): $4.0M
Tammy Baldwin (D-WI): $3.2M
Angela Alsobrooks (D-MD): $1.6M
Lucas Kunce (D-MO): $1.2M

https://twitter.com/mattholt33/status/1676556709861507074
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Gracile
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« Reply #307 on: July 05, 2023, 10:38:00 AM »
« Edited: July 05, 2023, 10:44:03 AM by Gracile »
Nebraska State Sen. Tony Vargas announces that he will run again in NE-02:

https://www.ketv.com/article/omaha-state-senator-tony-vargas-announces-second-bid-for-us-congress/44441535
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #308 on: July 05, 2023, 12:49:54 PM »
The surprise is gonna be FL whomever emerges can beat Scott he isn't Rubio and Primary is very late in Sept 24

FL, TX and MO will vote together in a blue waves
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Pollster
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« Reply #309 on: July 05, 2023, 04:34:32 PM »
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #310 on: July 05, 2023, 05:30:24 PM »
Quote from: Pollster on July 05, 2023, 04:34:32 PM


I feel like we can do better here
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GALeftist
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« Reply #311 on: July 06, 2023, 09:11:49 AM »


Wow, Tester raises $5 million lol
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #312 on: July 06, 2023, 09:47:45 AM »
« Edited: July 08, 2023, 12:20:53 PM by Roll Roons »
I think it’s fair to say no incumbent Democratic Senators will lack for money.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #313 on: July 06, 2023, 11:31:51 AM »
Dems:
Adam Frisch (CO-03) - $2.6M
Josh Riley (NY-19) - $775K
Sarah McBride (DE-AL) - $414K
Julie Johnson (TX-32) - $410K
Liz Gereghty (NY-17) - $400K
Brian Williams (TX-32) - $360K
Sarah Klee Hood (NY-22) - $320K
Mondaire Jones (NY-17) - $300K
Sue Altman (NJ-07) - $200K

Reps:
Mike Lawler (NY-17) - $900K
Scott Baugh (CA-47) - $545K

https://twitter.com/jamesd0wns/status/1676977628085977088
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #314 on: July 06, 2023, 03:40:41 PM »

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« Reply #315 on: July 07, 2023, 07:11:31 PM »


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wbrocks67
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« Reply #316 on: July 11, 2023, 09:16:40 AM »
LOL
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UncleSam
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« Reply #317 on: July 11, 2023, 02:32:44 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on July 11, 2023, 09:16:40 AM
LOL


Don’t think this is even close to ‘lol’ worthy. She’s a former incumbent who lost by 8 last year. Yes she is a solid underdog (probably starts out as Likely D) but she’s nowhere near DOA. The RGV is notoriously swingy and hard to predict, and in 2020 turned up for Rs. Not saying that will happen again or that Trump will suddenly carry the 34th, but this is still the best possible recruit Rs could get for this seat and puts it on the map, even if towards the edge.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #318 on: July 11, 2023, 03:41:52 PM »
Quote from: UncleSam on July 11, 2023, 02:32:44 PM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on July 11, 2023, 09:16:40 AM
LOL


Don’t think this is even close to ‘lol’ worthy. She’s a former incumbent who lost by 8 last year. Yes she is a solid underdog (probably starts out as Likely D) but she’s nowhere near DOA. The RGV is notoriously swingy and hard to predict, and in 2020 turned up for Rs. Not saying that will happen again or that Trump will suddenly carry the 34th, but this is still the best possible recruit Rs could get for this seat and puts it on the map, even if towards the edge.

Yes, it is LOL worthy. Flores literally only won in 2022's special election because of the atrocious turnout, and she almost lost by double digits last year - in a red wave year - because she's a QAnon nut. If she's the "best possible recruit" Rs have here, they're not doing too well.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #319 on: July 11, 2023, 05:22:08 PM »
Voters are mad about inflation but it's a 303 map with wave insurance I take these surveys I just took a Harris X Biden is gonna get reelection with a Filibuster proof Trifecta, Trump won't get back in as always it's VBM and Provisions ballots go D not R

I say it's gonna be a 232DH and 53/47 yes MO, FL and TX are gonna fall but Justice will be in S

I Brown is leading in OH it's over Trump cannot win without OH we were so close in 20/22, Vance won solely on DeWine DeWine won by 25 and Vance won by 5 some users act like Vance win by 25 no he didn't
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #320 on: July 12, 2023, 09:43:51 AM »
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #321 on: July 12, 2023, 10:06:28 AM »
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #322 on: July 12, 2023, 03:42:06 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on July 12, 2023, 10:06:28 AM


That's not good enough. We need to hold the Senate as well as retake the House, and +2 won't cut it. Maybe +10 would.
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Spectator
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« Reply #323 on: July 12, 2023, 08:29:13 PM »
Dems land their top recruit in NY-22 in State Senator John Mannion.

https://www.syracuse.com/politics/cny/2023/07/state-sen-john-mannion-will-launch-bid-for-central-new-york-seat-in-congress.html?outputType=amp
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #324 on: July 12, 2023, 08:45:19 PM »
« Edited: July 12, 2023, 08:49:03 PM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »
I keep saying it's a 50/45 Eday we don't know what map it's gonna be no one wins 60/40 Obama won 50/45 v Romney and got a landslide and McCaskill. Brown. tester and Nelson won

AZ and GA this time are gone for Rs

FL is in play because it's  returning back to norm Biden is down 10 not 20 it's a 50/45 R state like it was before IAN

Whomever wins the D Nomination for S will be down in a Fabio poll in FL 50/45 not 10 Oct 24 Scott and Cruz have net Disapprove
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