2024 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread

[Tekken_Guy]

https://twitter.com/wildstein/status/1663855590261809152

Congratulations to Tom Kean Jr. on winning re-election.

this already didn't age well given the above post

Fundraising =/= results.

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/wildstein/status/1663855590261809152

Congratulations to Tom Kean Jr. on winning re-election.

this already didn't age well given the above post

Fundraising =/= results.

Kean barely won last year, and 2024 will be a presidential year - not sure why he's seen as so strong?

[Tekken_Guy]

https://twitter.com/wildstein/status/1663855590261809152

Congratulations to Tom Kean Jr. on winning re-election.

this already didn't age well given the above post

Fundraising =/= results.

Kean barely won last year, and 2024 will be a presidential year - not sure why he's seen as so strong?

Yes Kean is beatable, but against Altman he should have no trouble being re-elected.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/CookPolitical/status/1666870977672642580

[Spectator]

https://twitter.com/JacobRubashkin/status/1664740132413489153

Fun fact: this guy was reelected to the state Senate in 2022 by 10 votes.

He's probably the strongest Democrat on the local bench

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I don't look at ratings until Oct 24, maps are blank on Eday Coons said it's gonna be a blue wave not just a 304 map with Trump indictment on Docugate, the ratings were grossly wrong last time in PRED Ds lose 20 H seats and Rs win 53 S Seats and lose KS Gov

That's why so many users PRED wrong on Fetterman they actually thought Fetterman was gonna lose with Shapiro

[Pollster]

https://twitter.com/wildstein/status/1663855590261809152

Congratulations to Tom Kean Jr. on winning re-election.

this already didn't age well given the above post

Fundraising =/= results.

Kean barely won last year, and 2024 will be a presidential year - not sure why he's seen as so strong?

Yes Kean is beatable, but against Altman he should have no trouble being re-elected.

There's of course no reason to believe that Altman is a juggernaut per se, but dismissing out of hand one of the few people to successfully take on the Norcross New Jersey machine (many have tried) is at best premature and at worst nonsensical.

[Tekken_Guy]

https://twitter.com/wildstein/status/1663855590261809152

Congratulations to Tom Kean Jr. on winning re-election.

this already didn't age well given the above post

Fundraising =/= results.

Kean barely won last year, and 2024 will be a presidential year - not sure why he's seen as so strong?

Yes Kean is beatable, but against Altman he should have no trouble being re-elected.

There's of course no reason to believe that Altman is a juggernaut per se, but dismissing out of hand one of the few people to successfully take on the Norcross New Jersey machine (many have tried) is at best premature and at worst nonsensical.

OK. Yes, Altman can win but Kean is very much favored right now.

[Pollster]

https://twitter.com/wildstein/status/1663855590261809152

Congratulations to Tom Kean Jr. on winning re-election.

this already didn't age well given the above post

Fundraising =/= results.

Kean barely won last year, and 2024 will be a presidential year - not sure why he's seen as so strong?

Yes Kean is beatable, but against Altman he should have no trouble being re-elected.

There's of course no reason to believe that Altman is a juggernaut per se, but dismissing out of hand one of the few people to successfully take on the Norcross New Jersey machine (many have tried) is at best premature and at worst nonsensical.

OK. Yes, Altman can win but Kean is very much favored right now.

No reason to believe a Republican in a Biden-won district that is stampeding left and located entirely within the nation's most expensive media market is very much favored.

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/_AustinHorn/status/1669773678639284238

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/wildstein/status/1670878202225389574?cxt=HHwWjMCzqem3k7AuAAA...

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

https://twitter.com/wildstein/status/1670878202225389574?cxt=HHwWjMCzqem3k7AuAAA...

Gross

[Lambsbread]

https://twitter.com/wildstein/status/1670878202225389574?cxt=HHwWjMCzqem3k7AuAAA...

Noooooo keep primarying Menendez

[Spectator]

https://twitter.com/wildstein/status/1670878202225389574?cxt=HHwWjMCzqem3k7AuAAA...

Gross

What’s wrong with him? It’s not like he stands a chance against Menendez with NJ’s corrupt machine line politics.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lol its a 1 yr before Eday

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

https://twitter.com/wildstein/status/1670878202225389574?cxt=HHwWjMCzqem3k7AuAAA...

Gross

What’s wrong with him? It’s not like he stands a chance against Menendez with NJ’s corrupt machine line politics.

Isn’t Roselle’s city government filled with DINOs or am I thinking of somewhere else?

[Lambsbread]

https://twitter.com/wildstein/status/1670878202225389574?cxt=HHwWjMCzqem3k7AuAAA...

Gross

What’s wrong with him? It’s not like he stands a chance against Menendez with NJ’s corrupt machine line politics.

Isn’t Roselle’s city government filled with DINOs or am I thinking of somewhere else?

Signorello has run a pretty progressive campaign, he advocates for a public option, universal Pre-K, ending the filibuster, and this bit which I think is really interesting:

For the mortgage companies that make billions off new homeowners, I’ll work to fund a public downpayment assistance program that utilizes corporate profits to subsidize the cost of a new home.

https://www.sigforsenate.com/priorities/ (under "financial systems")

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I know that's what Rs are afraid of, ended the Filibuster as I said in anotherthread but Nixon and Reagan got 50 percentage pts of Latinos and Bush W they coopted the D agent immigration reform reparations for Native American and Japanese and Native American are Arabs like Negros and Blks and Asians everyone are Arabs except Caucasian

Reagan didn't just pass tax cuts for the rich

We need immigration reform because we have to count all migrants not just Latinos

COVID didn't just spread from Latinos it came from China too

That's why the Filibuster needs to ends both sides especially Rs relied on it too much that's why Reid got rid of the Judicial Filibuster , that's why Sinema is gonna lose

[ꙮ]

https://twitter.com/wildstein/status/1670878202225389574?cxt=HHwWjMCzqem3k7AuAAA...

Gross

What’s wrong with him? It’s not like he stands a chance against Menendez with NJ’s corrupt machine line politics.

You sure? He was held to 62-38 against a complete rando in 2018. I wouldn't say its completely hopeless.

[Pollster]

https://twitter.com/wildstein/status/1670878202225389574?cxt=HHwWjMCzqem3k7AuAAA...

Gross

What’s wrong with him? It’s not like he stands a chance against Menendez with NJ’s corrupt machine line politics.

You sure? He was held to 62-38 against a complete rando in 2018. I wouldn't say its completely hopeless.

This was indeed a drastic overperformance and Menendez should theoretically be even weaker today than he was then, but the amount of money you need to compete against an incumbent with the double whammy of the NJ county lines and the New York/Philly media markets is a close to impossible hurdle. Rooting for him, though, and will likely support him.

[Mad Deadly Worldwide Communist Gangster Computer God]

https://twitter.com/wildstein/status/1670878202225389574?cxt=HHwWjMCzqem3k7AuAAA...

Gross

What’s wrong with him? It’s not like he stands a chance against Menendez with NJ’s corrupt machine line politics.

You sure? He was held to 62-38 against a complete rando in 2018. I wouldn't say its completely hopeless.

This was indeed a drastic overperformance and Menendez should theoretically be even weaker today than he was then, but the amount of money you need to compete against an incumbent with the double whammy of the NJ county lines and the New York/Philly media markets is a close to impossible hurdle. Rooting for him, though, and will likely support him.

I wonder if those markets are the reason Jersey's called a "machine state." I don't know of any particular unions that can decide elections and primaries, at least not to the extent that Nevada has.

[Pollster]

This was indeed a drastic overperformance and Menendez should theoretically be even weaker today than he was then, but the amount of money you need to compete against an incumbent with the double whammy of the NJ county lines and the New York/Philly media markets is a close to impossible hurdle. Rooting for him, though, and will likely support him.

I wonder if those markets are the reason Jersey's called a "machine state." I don't know of any particular unions that can decide elections and primaries, at least not to the extent that Nevada has.

It's more the county line that drives machine-backed candidates to perpetual victory - but the cost-prohibitiveness of mass communication makes overcoming the county line virtually impossible, so they work in tandem. New Jersey also has strikingly low turnout in primaries and state-level general elections held in the odd years (something that, like the county line/cost of media, is caused by a one-two punch of intentional and unintentional structural choices) that further acts as a hurdle to come-from-behind victories.

[kyc0705]

A fundamental understanding of The Line is the single most crucial factor to comprehending New Jersey politics.

[Ferguson97]

A massive loss. F-ck Elon.




https://twitter.com/CATargetBot/status/1672363796487364608

[Gracile]

EMILY's List weighs into the NY-04 and NY-17 races, endorsing Gillen and Gereghty:

https://twitter.com/jamesd0wns/status/1674038649007009794