California Senate 2024 - Schiff (D) vs Garvey (R)

[brucejoel99]

Did Porter and Lee concede already or congretulate Schiff? I couldn't find anything.

Not sure if they did publicly (which is weird) but Schiff confirmed in one of his interviews last week that they did reach out to him privately

Lee did publicly on Election Night (but only to Schiff, not to Garvey), Porter hasn't afaik.

[wbrocks67]

47% in: D+16.3 (57.3-41.0)
53% in: D+16.7 (57.5-40.8 )
58% in: D+17.5 (57.9-40.4)
68% in: D+19.1 (58.7-39.6)
72% in: D+19.0 (58.7-39.7)  / special: D+19.6 (59.8-40.2)
73% in: D+19.2 (58.8-39.6)  / special: D+19.8 (59.9-40.1)
76% in: D+20.0 (59.2-39.2)  / special: D+20.8 (60.4-39.6)
85% in: D+19.5 (59.0-39.5)  / special: D+20.4 (60.2-39.8 )
89% in: D+20.6 (59.5-38.9)  / special: D+20.8 (60.4-39.6)
92% in: D+20.2 (59.3-39.1)  / special: D+21.0 (60.5-39.5)
>95% in: D+20.4 (59.4-39.0)  / special: D+21.0 (60.5-39.5)
>95% in: D+20.4 (59.4-39.0)  / special: D+21.2 (60.6-39.4)
>95% in: D+20.7 (59.6-38.9)  / special: D+21.4 (60.7-39.3)

Late blue shift! We're now at Ds highest mark in total. Outside of some minor shifts, we were pretty much a blue shift most of the time. Margin shifted nearly 4.5% towards Ds since election night.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Why haven't they polled this race, I know Schiff maybe leading by 5

[Roll Roons]

The fact that they only had 47% counted on election night is a complete joke. 47% on a test is a failing grade. There’s no excuse for this at all, and it has nothing to do with partisanship or how later counted ballots might lean.

Frankly, I would have the military take over this state because they’ve proven that they can’t be trusted and don’t want to change.

[Holmes]

The fact that they only had 47% counted on election night is a complete joke. 47% on a test is a failing grade. There’s no excuse for this at all, and it has nothing to do with partisanship or how later counted ballots might lean.

Frankly, I would have the military take over this state because they’ve proven that they can’t be trusted and don’t want to change.

Can you please be serious.

[Roll Roons]

The fact that they only had 47% counted on election night is a complete joke. 47% on a test is a failing grade. There’s no excuse for this at all, and it has nothing to do with partisanship or how later counted ballots might lean.

Frankly, I would have the military take over this state because they’ve proven that they can’t be trusted and don’t want to change.

Can you please be serious.

I am. This is entirely unacceptable and there’s no reason we as a country should continue to allow or tolerate it. They literally count votes faster in India.

[Minnesota Mike]

So what explains the fact Adam Schiff got 144,000 fewer votes in the special than he did in the regular primary? The special actually had 82,000 more total votes and there were far fewer minor candidates to siphon off votes so you would think everyone's total would go up and in fact every other candidate in the special did get more votes than they did in the regular primary. Is it as simple as Democratic voters giving Lee or Porter a sort of consolation prize?

To be clear I don't think this has any significance, I just found it an oddity.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

So what explains the fact Adam Schiff got 144,000 fewer votes in the special than he did in the regular primary? The special actually had 82,000 more total votes and there were far fewer minor candidates to siphon off votes so you would think everyone's total would go up and in fact every other candidate in the special did get more votes than they did in the regular primary. Is it as simple as Democratic voters giving Lee or Porter a sort of consolation prize?

To be clear I don't think this has any significance, I just found it an oddity.

I’ve heard speculation that some voters thought it was something of a ranked choice and voted for their second choice. It is strange though.

I do remember some counties had what seemed like tabulation errors, but I assume that those have been resolved.

[MRS DONNA SHALALA]

So what explains the fact Adam Schiff got 144,000 fewer votes in the special than he did in the regular primary? The special actually had 82,000 more total votes and there were far fewer minor candidates to siphon off votes so you would think everyone's total would go up and in fact every other candidate in the special did get more votes than they did in the regular primary. Is it as simple as Democratic voters giving Lee or Porter a sort of consolation prize?

To be clear I don't think this has any significance, I just found it an oddity.

I think it's people being confused by the ballot ("I can't vote for these people twice!, that's illegal!"), and leaving the Special blank so as to not risk spoiling their ballot. Honestly not surprised there's more dropoff.

[Minnesota Mike]

So what explains the fact Adam Schiff got 144,000 fewer votes in the special than he did in the regular primary? The special actually had 82,000 more total votes and there were far fewer minor candidates to siphon off votes so you would think everyone's total would go up and in fact every other candidate in the special did get more votes than they did in the regular primary. Is it as simple as Democratic voters giving Lee or Porter a sort of consolation prize?

To be clear I don't think this has any significance, I just found it an oddity.

I think it's people being confused by the ballot ("I can't vote for these people twice!, that's illegal!"), and leaving the Special blank so as to not risk spoiling their ballot. Honestly not surprised there's more dropoff.

But the special had more total votes. Also Garvey had more votes in the special than the regular primary so Republicans didn't appear to be confused as to how many times they could vote for a candidate.

[MRS DONNA SHALALA]

So what explains the fact Adam Schiff got 144,000 fewer votes in the special than he did in the regular primary? The special actually had 82,000 more total votes and there were far fewer minor candidates to siphon off votes so you would think everyone's total would go up and in fact every other candidate in the special did get more votes than they did in the regular primary. Is it as simple as Democratic voters giving Lee or Porter a sort of consolation prize?

To be clear I don't think this has any significance, I just found it an oddity.

I think it's people being confused by the ballot ("I can't vote for these people twice!, that's illegal!"), and leaving the Special blank so as to not risk spoiling their ballot. Honestly not surprised there's more dropoff.

But the special had more total votes. Also Garvey had more votes in the special than the regular primary so Republicans didn't appear to be confused as to how many times they could vote for a candidate.

Ah whoops, missed that bit. In that case the ranked-choice theory makes sense, but otherwise no idea why that might have happened.