I have a feeling this primary will break heavily along racial and regional lines.
Assuming both Allred and Gutierrez both remain viable candidates, I'd expect Gutierrez to sweep basically all of the border, the panhandle, and generally most heavily Hispanic communities throughout the state. Allred I suspect will do better in the cities, particularly amongst white liberals and black voters. Also prolly gets a regional boost in Dallas.
I just hope it doesn’t turn really negative and that Gutierrez isn’t a sore loser. I like Gutierrez and think he could have a real statewide future down the road, but this just isn’t his year.