TX-SEN 2024 megathread: The Hunt for the Zodiac Killer

[President Johnson]

With the result of Florida from this year, it seems like this is the Democrats' best shot for a pickup on the pretty tough 2024 map.

I wonder who they could run to challenge Ted Cruz? Maybe that tweet from Mark Kelly's twin brother wasn't a joke? He might be a strong candidate.

Thread title suggestions welcome. How about "The Hunt for the Zodiac Killer"?

[Comrade Funk]

Scott Kelly or Colin Allred

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's gonna be 51/49 D anyways we can afford to lose a seat and Manchin is likely a loss

If it's 51/50 we have target TX or FLORIDA , but I am pretty sure with the Early vote WARNOCK will win

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

Scott Kelly or Colin Allred

Colin Allred would be a great pick, he literally won a D +1 district in suburban DFW by over 20 points this year. Insane.

[UWS]

All of the potential opponents to Cruz are too socialist for such a red state like Texas.

Joaquin Castro, for example, supports socialized medicine. On taxes, he voted against reducing taxes on small business, against repealing the Death Tax, against the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. On energy, he voted to increase regulations on fracking and to ban exports of natural gas, voted against Liquid Natural Gas (LNG) exports and against the Keystone XL pipeline.

https://clerk.house.gov/evs/2016/roll295.xml

https://clerk.house.gov/evs/2013/roll601.xml

https://clerk.house.gov/evs/2013/roll602.xml

https://www.congress.gov/bill/113th-congress/house-bill/6/actions

https://clerk.house.gov/evs/2013/roll179.xml

On immigration, he supports sanctuary cities, voted against Kate's Law.

https://justfacts.votesmart.org/bill/20281/53368/49227/enforce-the-law-for-sanctuary-cities-act#53368

https://justfacts.votesmart.org/bill/23224/60153/49227/no-sanctuary-for-criminals-act#60153

When Hurricane Harvey hit Texas in 2017, he was one of only 4 Texas Democrats to vote against providing tax relief for victims of Hurricane Harvey.

https://clerk.house.gov/evs/2017/roll542.xml

Colin Allred voted in line with Joe Biden 100% of the time.

[here2view]

I think this starts out as Lean R. Collin Allred would be a great pick.

[Perlen vor den Schweinen]

Scott Kelly or Colin Allred

Colin Allred would be a great pick, he literally won a D +1 district in suburban DFW by over 20 points this year. Insane.

I believe he was redistricted to a safe seat under the new map for this decade. His old seat under the 2010s map was very competitive.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We don't need TX it's a 51/49D Sen Manchin probably go na lose but if DEMINGS runs in FL Scott in a Prez yr isn't winning by 17

I am growing more confidence that Warnock will prevail there is gonna be early voting like last time  GA is skewed heavily D

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

Scott Kelly or Colin Allred

Colin Allred would be a great pick, he literally won a D +1 district in suburban DFW by over 20 points this year. Insane.

I believe he was redistricted to a safe seat under the new map for this decade. His old seat under the 2010s map was very competitive.

No, I'm not aware of this at all, AFAIK the Seat that Allred just won by 20+ points is the exact same seat that Pete Sessions won by 20+ points in 2014 and hasn't been changed since 2013.

[GALeftist]

This is a must win for a majority hold. Hopefully Cruz runs for re-election. Notable options for Ds include Scott Kelly, Joaquin Castro, Colin Allred, and Lina Hidalgo.

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

This is a must win for a majority hold. Hopefully Cruz runs for re-election. Notable options for Ds include Scott Kelly, Joaquin Castro, Colin Allred, and Lina Hidalgo.

While I'm a big fan of Lina Hidalgo, considering she only just won her position by less than 51% idk if we should make her our state-wide candidate.

[Oryxslayer]

This is a must win for a majority hold. Hopefully Cruz runs for re-election. Notable options for Ds include Scott Kelly, Joaquin Castro, Colin Allred, and Lina Hidalgo.

These four are the shortlist I have seem floating around, barring something dramatic like one of the celebs whose name always comes up, or state legislative wonderperson.

[MarkD]

I would not take for granted that Ted Cruz will run for reelection. I think he is the type of politician who will self-impose himself a two-term limit. Plus, I think he will run for president, and will not take advantage of the Texas law that allows a member of Congress to run for reelection while simultaneously running for president. But even if he doesn't run for president (because Trump runs), I think two terms in the Senate is all he wants.

[kwabbit]

Scott Kelly or Colin Allred

Colin Allred would be a great pick, he literally won a D +1 district in suburban DFW by over 20 points this year. Insane.

I believe he was redistricted to a safe seat under the new map for this decade. His old seat under the 2010s map was very competitive.

No, I'm not aware of this at all, AFAIK the Seat that Allred just won by 20+ points is the exact same seat that Pete Sessions won by 20+ points in 2014 and hasn't been changed since 2013.

Every seat changed lol, Texas was gerrymandered and Allred was given a D sink. He won by 31 in a Biden +34 seat. That’s still a good performance, but he’s not in a competitive district anymore.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Scott Kelly or Colin Allred

Colin Allred would be a great pick, he literally won a D +1 district in suburban DFW by over 20 points this year. Insane.

I believe he was redistricted to a safe seat under the new map for this decade. His old seat under the 2010s map was very competitive.

No, I'm not aware of this at all, AFAIK the Seat that Allred just won by 20+ points is the exact same seat that Pete Sessions won by 20+ points in 2014 and hasn't been changed since 2013.

Every seat changed lol, Texas was gerrymandered and Allred was given a D sink. He won by 31 in a Biden +34 seat. That’s still a good performance, but he’s not in a competitive district anymore.

F in Chat for Antonio Swad's chances of getting into Congress in a D pack.

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

Scott Kelly or Colin Allred

Colin Allred would be a great pick, he literally won a D +1 district in suburban DFW by over 20 points this year. Insane.

I believe he was redistricted to a safe seat under the new map for this decade. His old seat under the 2010s map was very competitive.

No, I'm not aware of this at all, AFAIK the Seat that Allred just won by 20+ points is the exact same seat that Pete Sessions won by 20+ points in 2014 and hasn't been changed since 2013.

Every seat changed lol, Texas was gerrymandered and Allred was given a D sink. He won by 31 in a Biden +34 seat. That’s still a good performance, but he’s not in a competitive district anymore.

Link to these changes? While I know it isn't the most reliable, wiki seems to say that he's still representing the same district. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Texas%27s_32nd_congressional_district

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Scott Kelly or Colin Allred

Colin Allred would be a great pick, he literally won a D +1 district in suburban DFW by over 20 points this year. Insane.

I believe he was redistricted to a safe seat under the new map for this decade. His old seat under the 2010s map was very competitive.

No, I'm not aware of this at all, AFAIK the Seat that Allred just won by 20+ points is the exact same seat that Pete Sessions won by 20+ points in 2014 and hasn't been changed since 2013.

Every seat changed lol, Texas was gerrymandered and Allred was given a D sink. He won by 31 in a Biden +34 seat. That’s still a good performance, but he’s not in a competitive district anymore.

Link to these changes? While I know it isn't the most reliable, wiki seems to say that he's still representing the same district. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Texas%27s_32nd_congressional_district

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/b/be/Texas_Congressional_Districts%2C_118th_Congress.svg/2524px-Texas_Congressional_Districts%2C_118th_Congress.svg.png
This is the post-2022 map.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Scott Kelly or Colin Allred

Colin Allred would be a great pick, he literally won a D +1 district in suburban DFW by over 20 points this year. Insane.

I believe he was redistricted to a safe seat under the new map for this decade. His old seat under the 2010s map was very competitive.

No, I'm not aware of this at all, AFAIK the Seat that Allred just won by 20+ points is the exact same seat that Pete Sessions won by 20+ points in 2014 and hasn't been changed since 2013.

Every seat changed lol, Texas was gerrymandered and Allred was given a D sink. He won by 31 in a Biden +34 seat. That’s still a good performance, but he’s not in a competitive district anymore.

Link to these changes? While I know it isn't the most reliable, wiki seems to say that he's still representing the same district. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Texas%27s_32nd_congressional_district

https://www.politico.com/interactives/2022/congressional-redistricting-maps-by-state-and-district/texas/

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

Scott Kelly or Colin Allred

Colin Allred would be a great pick, he literally won a D +1 district in suburban DFW by over 20 points this year. Insane.

I believe he was redistricted to a safe seat under the new map for this decade. His old seat under the 2010s map was very competitive.

No, I'm not aware of this at all, AFAIK the Seat that Allred just won by 20+ points is the exact same seat that Pete Sessions won by 20+ points in 2014 and hasn't been changed since 2013.

Every seat changed lol, Texas was gerrymandered and Allred was given a D sink. He won by 31 in a Biden +34 seat. That’s still a good performance, but he’s not in a competitive district anymore.

Link to these changes? While I know it isn't the most reliable, wiki seems to say that he's still representing the same district. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Texas%27s_32nd_congressional_district

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/b/be/Texas_Congressional_Districts%2C_118th_Congress.svg/2524px-Texas_Congressional_Districts%2C_118th_Congress.svg.png
This is the post-2022 map.

Okay, so he was running in the same district this time around, however? The following website also confirms this.

https://redistricting.capitol.texas.gov

Scott Kelly or Colin Allred

Colin Allred would be a great pick, he literally won a D +1 district in suburban DFW by over 20 points this year. Insane.

I believe he was redistricted to a safe seat under the new map for this decade. His old seat under the 2010s map was very competitive.

No, I'm not aware of this at all, AFAIK the Seat that Allred just won by 20+ points is the exact same seat that Pete Sessions won by 20+ points in 2014 and hasn't been changed since 2013.

Every seat changed lol, Texas was gerrymandered and Allred was given a D sink. He won by 31 in a Biden +34 seat. That’s still a good performance, but he’s not in a competitive district anymore.

Link to these changes? While I know it isn't the most reliable, wiki seems to say that he's still representing the same district. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Texas%27s_32nd_congressional_district

https://www.politico.com/interactives/2022/congressional-redistricting-maps-by-state-and-district/texas/

So that's the post-2022 map or it's the map the legit ran on this year? There seems to be quite a bit of conflicting info out there. Or many sites simply haven't updated their info. But I may be wrong, since this article appears to confirm what y'all said, in which case, my bad.

https://www.texastribune.org/2021/09/24/texas-congressional-redistricting/

[OSR stands with Israel]

Scott Kelly or Colin Allred

Colin Allred would be a great pick, he literally won a D +1 district in suburban DFW by over 20 points this year. Insane.

I believe he was redistricted to a safe seat under the new map for this decade. His old seat under the 2010s map was very competitive.

No, I'm not aware of this at all, AFAIK the Seat that Allred just won by 20+ points is the exact same seat that Pete Sessions won by 20+ points in 2014 and hasn't been changed since 2013.

Every seat changed lol, Texas was gerrymandered and Allred was given a D sink. He won by 31 in a Biden +34 seat. That’s still a good performance, but he’s not in a competitive district anymore.

Link to these changes? While I know it isn't the most reliable, wiki seems to say that he's still representing the same district. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Texas%27s_32nd_congressional_district

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/b/be/Texas_Congressional_Districts%2C_118th_Congress.svg/2524px-Texas_Congressional_Districts%2C_118th_Congress.svg.png
This is the post-2022 map.

Okay, so he was running in the same district this time around, however? The following website also confirms this.

https://redistricting.capitol.texas.gov

Scott Kelly or Colin Allred

Colin Allred would be a great pick, he literally won a D +1 district in suburban DFW by over 20 points this year. Insane.

I believe he was redistricted to a safe seat under the new map for this decade. His old seat under the 2010s map was very competitive.

No, I'm not aware of this at all, AFAIK the Seat that Allred just won by 20+ points is the exact same seat that Pete Sessions won by 20+ points in 2014 and hasn't been changed since 2013.

Every seat changed lol, Texas was gerrymandered and Allred was given a D sink. He won by 31 in a Biden +34 seat. That’s still a good performance, but he’s not in a competitive district anymore.

Link to these changes? While I know it isn't the most reliable, wiki seems to say that he's still representing the same district. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Texas%27s_32nd_congressional_district

https://www.politico.com/interactives/2022/congressional-redistricting-maps-by-state-and-district/texas/

So that's the post-2022 map or it's the map the legit ran on this year? There seems to be quite a bit of conflicting info out there. Or many sites simply haven't updated their info. But I may be wrong, since this article appears to confirm what y'all said, in which case, my bad.

https://www.texastribune.org/2021/09/24/texas-congressional-redistricting/

All candidates for congress ran on the new lines this year as this was the first cycle where the new maps were in effect

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Allred would be a godsend. He's an NFL player for god's sake!
But Cruz has to run for election for us to have a good chance here

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Allred would be a godsend. He's an NFL player for god's sake!
But Cruz has to run for election for us to have a good chance here

It's safe R irregardless, we couldn't break Abbott lead to within single digits and Trump is gonna win TX anyways or DeSantis we have a better chance in FL if DEMINGS or Graham runs Scott isn't as popular as Rubio Rubio was Latino and too Latino votes away and Rs  in Prez yr isnt winning Miami Dade

He still will be tough in FL but not like Rubio winning by 17%

[QAnonKelly]

Allred would be a good pick but he's still young enough that he might want to wait another cycle or two.  Maybe next time Cornyn's seat is up.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden can lose the S in 24 guys 49 votes WVa and MT and win it back in 26 Ernst, Tillis and Collins are like at 45 percent Approvals , Ernst has always had subpar Approvals she was never at 55% like Grassley

We can see us winning the H and lose the S based on CA, VA and NY in 24 because there is a Filibuster in the Senate.

Jeff Jackson, Fink, and Golden are gonna run in 26 anyways, we can still win the H and Lose the S in 24 and gain back the Sen in 26 because all the swing states favor Ds in the Senate
24 but do we want that to happen no, that's the worse case scenario

OH will get another fair redistricting map under 24 not 22 guidelines that's why Brown can win but Tester and Manchin are vulnerable

Ryan lost because of Nan W and DeWine is unbeatable like DeSantis no scandal

[Sir Mohamed]

Scott Kelly or Colin Allred

Colin Allred would be a great pick, he literally won a D +1 district in suburban DFW by over 20 points this year. Insane.

Agreed, Allred could indeed give Cruz a run for his money. Appeal in suburbs is key for any Dem to win statewide in TX.