TX-SEN 2024 megathread: The Hunt for the Zodiac Killer

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

https://twitter.com/SteveGuest/status/1789049753650532400?t=aVwO76-T-ZF-X4DodtlB...
Lol and people called him a good candidate

[SnowLabrador]

https://twitter.com/SteveGuest/status/1789049753650532400?t=aVwO76-T-ZF-X4DodtlB...
Lol and people called him a good candidate

It's only Fox News reporting this. Realistically, anyone who would vote against Allred for this reason was already voting for Cruz. This doesn't affect the final result much if at all.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

https://twitter.com/SteveGuest/status/1789049753650532400?t=aVwO76-T-ZF-X4DodtlB...
Lol and people called him a good candidate

It's only Fox News reporting this. Realistically, anyone who would vote against Allred for this reason was already voting for Cruz. This doesn't affect the final result much if at all.

Swing voters in Texas are very against illegal immigration. Of course it'll affect the final result lmao.

[SnowLabrador]

https://twitter.com/SteveGuest/status/1789049753650532400?t=aVwO76-T-ZF-X4DodtlB...
Lol and people called him a good candidate

It's only Fox News reporting this. Realistically, anyone who would vote against Allred for this reason was already voting for Cruz. This doesn't affect the final result much if at all.

Swing voters in Texas are very against illegal immigration. Of course it'll affect the final result lmao.

I'm rather skeptical, just because Republicans always accuse Democrats of being soft on this issue.

[2016]

https://twitter.com/SteveGuest/status/1789049753650532400?t=aVwO76-T-ZF-X4DodtlB...
Lol and people called him a good candidate

It's only Fox News reporting this. Realistically, anyone who would vote against Allred for this reason was already voting for Cruz. This doesn't affect the final result much if at all.

Swing voters in Texas are very against illegal immigration. Of course it'll affect the final result lmao.

I'm rather skeptical, just because Republicans always accuse Democrats of being soft on this issue.

TX-SEN & FL-SEN are off the table for Democrats and the only way now Schumer retains his Majority Leaders Position is if Democrats pull a "HOUDINI" and all their Incumbents win. Highly unlikely I'd say.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's not the fact that just this that Colin Allred is handing out gifts to illegals it's the gun issue, just like it haunted Beto that TX is pro guns

Allred wasn't that known as a Football star anyways and he wasn't even a Cowboy he was a Titan, Atlasia went nuts over Allred that's why he was propted up

Safe R

[wnwnwn]

Accoding to his campaing website, he learned riflery at a YMCA summer camp. Imagine if he did a Kander style ad about that.

[Tekken_Guy]

https://twitter.com/SteveGuest/status/1789049753650532400?t=aVwO76-T-ZF-X4DodtlB...
Lol and people called him a good candidate

It's only Fox News reporting this. Realistically, anyone who would vote against Allred for this reason was already voting for Cruz. This doesn't affect the final result much if at all.

Swing voters in Texas are very against illegal immigration. Of course it'll affect the final result lmao.

It won’t affect the final result because Cruz is highly unlikely to lose either way.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

https://twitter.com/SteveGuest/status/1789049753650532400?t=aVwO76-T-ZF-X4DodtlB...
Lol and people called him a good candidate

It's only Fox News reporting this. Realistically, anyone who would vote against Allred for this reason was already voting for Cruz. This doesn't affect the final result much if at all.

Swing voters in Texas are very against illegal immigration. Of course it'll affect the final result lmao.

I'm rather skeptical, just because Republicans always accuse Democrats of being soft on this issue.

And that's part of why Republicans win there. For a democrat to win they need to escape the view of them being pro-illegal immigration, and it seems Allred won't be able to escape that.

I find it funny that the same people who are convinced a Daily Beast article about a random staffer for Tim Sheehy being racist will massively help Tester, are the same people who dismiss a story about Allred literally helping illegal immigrants commit crimes as "not going to change any votes".

[Unelectable Bystander]

https://twitter.com/SteveGuest/status/1789049753650532400?t=aVwO76-T-ZF-X4DodtlB...
Lol and people called him a good candidate

It's only Fox News reporting this. Realistically, anyone who would vote against Allred for this reason was already voting for Cruz. This doesn't affect the final result much if at all.

Swing voters in Texas are very against illegal immigration. Of course it'll affect the final result lmao.

I'm rather skeptical, just because Republicans always accuse Democrats of being soft on this issue.

And that's part of why Republicans win there. For a democrat to win they need to escape the view of them being pro-illegal immigration, and it seems Allred won't be able to escape that.

I find it funny that the same people who are convinced a Daily Beast article about a random staffer for Tim Sheehy being racist will massively help Tester, are the same people who dismiss a story about Allred literally helping illegal immigrants commit crimes as "not going to change any votes".

No votes will be moved…and 52% of the electorate will back Cruz just like every other statewide race.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Peters already said send monies to our incumbents and Osbourne and Alsobrooks, the DSCC chair. Many Ds uncharacteristically sent tons of money to ALLRED, but Guiterrez may have a better chance against Cornyn since Trump isn't on ballot.

[ProgressiveModerate]

I think people overstate the salience of illegal immigration as an issue even in TX.

By and large for people where this is a decisive issue, very few are persuadable voters. Additionally the regions where it might actually matter more or persuadable voters (i.e RGV) are relatively low population to begin with and even lower turnout.

I also think it’s naive to declare at this point Cruz is “clearly” going to win. I think he’s favored but not to the extent his victory is guaranteed and probably large in magnitude.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/JacobRubashkin/status/1790104129118814558

[President Johnson]

Well, it's certainly bad optics. Whether it sticks, we have to see. Not that I expected this seat to flip though.

[GoTfan]

Well, it's certainly bad optics. Whether it sticks, we have to see. Not that I expected this seat to flip though.

Texas is going to require another cycle at least.

[Sir Mohamed]

Well, it's certainly bad optics. Whether it sticks, we have to see. Not that I expected this seat to flip though.

Texas is going to require another cycle at least.

Yup, I think the other seat could be in play with Cornyn retiring in 2026 during a Trump midterm. Otherwise, Dems may have a shot in the national election after 2024 that has them winning.

If this race is indeed gone, the Dem path to keeping the senate as almost eliminated, given WV is a safe pickup for the GOP and there's no other target left (FL is Safe R). Even if Biden is reelected, everything else has to go right, OH and MT in particular.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Well, it's certainly bad optics. Whether it sticks, we have to see. Not that I expected this seat to flip though.

Texas is going to require another cycle at least.

Yup, I think the other seat could be in play with Cornyn retiring in 2026 during a Trump midterm. Otherwise, Dems may have a shot in the national election after 2024 that has them winning.

If this race is indeed gone, the Dem path to keeping the senate as almost eliminated, given WV is a safe pickup for the GOP and there's no other target left (FL is Safe R). Even if Biden is reelected, everything else has to go right, OH and MT in particular.

Brown and Tester are even in Emerson

Daines, Collins, Tillis and Cornyn are top targets for Ds in 26 with Guiterrez, Busse, Riley and Golden regardless of what party holds WH

[President Johnson]

Well, it's certainly bad optics. Whether it sticks, we have to see. Not that I expected this seat to flip though.

Texas is going to require another cycle at least.

Yup, I think the other seat could be in play with Cornyn retiring in 2026 during a Trump midterm. Otherwise, Dems may have a shot in the national election after 2024 that has them winning.

If this race is indeed gone, the Dem path to keeping the senate as almost eliminated, given WV is a safe pickup for the GOP and there's no other target left (FL is Safe R). Even if Biden is reelected, everything else has to go right, OH and MT in particular.

Yeah, holding the senate is an uphill battle this cycle. This class up for election already sucked in 2018. It's too unfortunate Democrats didn't recruit a better candidate in Wisconsin in 2022. With 52 seats, they would be in a more comfortable situation now.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Well, it's certainly bad optics. Whether it sticks, we have to see. Not that I expected this seat to flip though.

Texas is going to require another cycle at least.

Yup, I think the other seat could be in play with Cornyn retiring in 2026 during a Trump midterm. Otherwise, Dems may have a shot in the national election after 2024 that has them winning.

If this race is indeed gone, the Dem path to keeping the senate as almost eliminated, given WV is a safe pickup for the GOP and there's no other target left (FL is Safe R). Even if Biden is reelected, everything else has to go right, OH and MT in particular.

Yeah, holding the senate is an uphill battle this cycle. This class up for election already sucked in 2018. It's too unfortunate Democrats didn't recruit a better candidate in Wisconsin in 2022. With 52 seats, they would be in a more comfortable situation now.

No it's not we have Brown and Tester even in Emerson polls


As far as Barnes and Ryan losses they were ahead until IAN Barnes was leading in a Clarity poll and Ryan Impact before IAN

I posted both polls Impact Ryan was leading by 9 before IAN and Barnes by 2 in Clarity

[TheReckoning]

Why was this race taken so seriously in 2018? Many people thought that even if Beto was a long shot, by 2024 it would be more competitive.

[Mr. Smith]

Well, it's certainly bad optics. Whether it sticks, we have to see. Not that I expected this seat to flip though.

Texas is going to require another cycle at least.

Yup, I think the other seat could be in play with Cornyn retiring in 2026 during a Trump midterm. Otherwise, Dems may have a shot in the national election after 2024 that has them winning.

If this race is indeed gone, the Dem path to keeping the senate as almost eliminated, given WV is a safe pickup for the GOP and there's no other target left (FL is Safe R). Even if Biden is reelected, everything else has to go right, OH and MT in particular.

Yeah, holding the senate is an uphill battle this cycle. This class up for election already sucked in 2018. It's too unfortunate Democrats didn't recruit a better candidate in Wisconsin in 2022. With 52 seats, they would be in a more comfortable situation now.

They recruited great, but he was thrown to the wolves, just like Cheri Beasely for NC.

Why was this race taken so seriously in 2018? Many people thought that even if Beto was a long shot, by 2024 it would be more competitive.

There wasn't COVID nor Trump's loss back then to rally the GOP like now. Cruz has done a good job mending things in that time, and Allred is no Beto.

[TheReckoning]

The fact that Texas is minority white - yet Democrats still can’t win a single statewide race - really shows just how pathetic the Democratic Party of Texas is.

[ProgressiveModerate]

The fact that Texas is minority white - yet Democrats still can’t win a single statewide race - really shows just how pathetic the Democratic Party of Texas is.

That’s mainly do to Hispanics being low turnout and nowhere near as D-friendly as black voters. By this same logic you’d expect Dems to be doing better in a lot of the southwestern states like NV

[Reactionary Libertarian]

The fact that Texas is minority white - yet Democrats still can’t win a single statewide race - really shows just how pathetic the Democratic Party of Texas is.

Just because the state overall is majority nonwhite doesn’t mean that registered voters are. Much of Texas’ population growth has come from Latinos who aren’t eligible to vote because they’re too young or not citizens. Even those eligible are often in age groups that have low turnout.