TX-SEN 2024 megathread: The Hunt for the Zodiac Killer

[Skill and Chance]

Does Ronald Gutierrez support gun control? That could be his Achilles heel in a state like Texas.

He is from Uvalde.

Not sure if that neccesarily helps him, remember Beto was from El Paso but his gun control stances still hurt him. It is very likely this is the issue Cruz will focus on against him assuming he becomes the nominee.

I think things have gotten out of hand now to the point that the popularity of the R position on guns is getting shaky in light red states.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Does Ronald Gutierrez support gun control? That could be his Achilles heel in a state like Texas.

No it's not we are in a Great Recession 2.0 in 2006/08/12 the Ds in Southern states like Brown, Tester, Nelson and McCaskill won despite being pro gun control

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Does Ronald Gutierrez support gun control? That could be his Achilles heel in a state like Texas.

He is from Uvalde.

Not sure if that neccesarily helps him, remember Beto was from El Paso but his gun control stances still hurt him. It is very likely this is the issue Cruz will focus on against him assuming he becomes the nominee.

You also said Biden Approvals are low and we won WI +11 when Obama was at 40 percent in 2010/14 Walker won WI, Biden is tracking like Obama in Rassy 48 percentage pts Approval

[Landslide Lyndon]

Does Ronald Gutierrez support gun control? That could be his Achilles heel in a state like Texas.

He is from Uvalde.

Not sure if that neccesarily helps him, remember Beto was from El Paso but his gun control stances still hurt him. It is very likely this is the issue Cruz will focus on against him assuming he becomes the nominee.

Not to diminish the El Paso tragedy but the victims of the Uvalde massacre were kids.

[Mr. Smith]

Does Ronald Gutierrez support gun control? That could be his Achilles heel in a state like Texas.

He is from Uvalde.

Not sure if that neccesarily helps him, remember Beto was from El Paso but his gun control stances still hurt him. It is very likely this is the issue Cruz will focus on against him assuming he becomes the nominee.

Not to diminish the El Paso tragedy but the victims of the Uvalde massacre were kids.

Yet Uvalde County still was contestably in the Abbott column and likely remains that way.

[Spectator]

Does Ronald Gutierrez support gun control? That could be his Achilles heel in a state like Texas.

He is from Uvalde.

Not sure if that neccesarily helps him, remember Beto was from El Paso but his gun control stances still hurt him. It is very likely this is the issue Cruz will focus on against him assuming he becomes the nominee.

Not to diminish the El Paso tragedy but the victims of the Uvalde massacre were kids.

Yet Uvalde County still was contestably in the Abbott column and likely remains that way.

Gutierrez did better than Biden in Uvalde County by around 4 points.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Does Ronald Gutierrez support gun control? That could be his Achilles heel in a state like Texas.

He is from Uvalde.

Brown, Tester, McCaskill won in red states and they were pro gun control,and so did Kay Hagen, win too Dole hammered her on gun rights why because Pandemic was Great Recession 2.0 and Mark Begich 2008 and Mary Peltola won in red states AK on being pro gun control

AZ Iced tea said GALLEGO would lose and he is ahead in every poll

[Minnesota Mike]

https://twitter.com/DaniellaMicaela/status/1653106941705502722

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lean D Great news

[Canis]

Allred and Guttierez would both be great recruits. Allred would likely overperform in DFW and Guttierez would in the RGV, only thing is Dems need to do well in both and we can only run one candidate. ill reserve making a judgment till they both announce and see how they do with the voters.

[Lief 🗽]

Allred is Democrats’ only hope of holding on to the senate.

[Lincoln Project]

https://twitter.com/DaniellaMicaela/status/1653106941705502722

Lean R. Allred is a generic party-line Democrat, there is nothing particularly appealing about him to swing voters.

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/DaniellaMicaela/status/1653106941705502722

Lean R. Allred is a generic party-line Democrat, there is nothing particularly appealing about him to swing voters.

There's a hell of a lot more appealing to swing voters in Allred than there is in Cruz.

[Lambsbread]

Godspeed, Congressman Allred! I'm not quite convinced this seat is ready to flip yet, but anything is possible when you have a smarmy worm like Cruz occupying it.

[GALeftist]

Ted Cruz slightly underperformed Romney in 2012 against an opponent who spent like $100k total. Lean R, in my opinion.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/DaniellaMicaela/status/1653106941705502722

Lean R. Allred is a generic party-line Democrat, there is nothing particularly appealing about him to swing voters.

It's wave insurance and Biden is leading by 5/10 pts over DeSantis and TRUMP do you know what wave insurance is, 2008 we were only supposed to win CO, OH we won VA, NC, IN, and FL. By the way Liddy Dole and Gordon Smith and Coleman were safe too in 2008

The Pandemic was Great Recession 2 and 2008 it was the first Great Recession and the last poll had Trump +3 in TX and Emerson had Trump tied in FL

Just like MS and LA Gov are t over it's still 6 months to go

[Zedonathin2020]

One could only pray to God or Vishnu or The Flying Spaghetti Monster that this seat flips. Allred is the Democrats best possible nominee, but this is still a "Lean R" at best for them

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

One could only pray to God or Vishnu or The Flying Spaghetti Monster that this seat flips. Allred is the Democrats best possible nominee, but this is still a "Lean R" at best for them

Do you know whom Biden is he was on the ballot in 2008/12 that got us 59 seats the reason why we failed to get a landslide was in 20 Trump gave out stimulus checks and no Rs want to get rid of all entitlement

FL isn't safe either for Rs them Emerson has Biden tied in FL a month ago 44

[Lincoln Project]

One could only pray to God or Vishnu or The Flying Spaghetti Monster that this seat flips. Allred is the Democrats best possible nominee, but this is still a "Lean R" at best for them

Do you know whom Biden is he was on the ballot in 2008/12 that got us 59 seats the reason why we failed to get a landslide was in 20 Trump gave out stimulus checks and no Rs want to get rid of all entitlement

FL isn't safe either for Rs them Emerson has Biden tied in FL a month ago 44

FL is a likely R state, and will probably vote to the right of TX.

[Zedonathin2020]

One could only pray to God or Vishnu or The Flying Spaghetti Monster that this seat flips. Allred is the Democrats best possible nominee, but this is still a "Lean R" at best for them

Do you know whom Biden is he was on the ballot in 2008/12 that got us 59 seats the reason why we failed to get a landslide was in 20 Trump gave out stimulus checks and no Rs want to get rid of all entitlement

FL isn't safe either for Rs them Emerson has Biden tied in FL a month ago 44

FL is a likely R state, and will probably vote to the right of TX.

Ignore him, he's been saying garbage like that for years.

[Canis]

Allred and Guttierez would both be great recruits. Allred would likely overperform in DFW and Guttierez would in the RGV, only thing is Dems need to do well in both and we can only run one candidate. ill reserve making a judgment till they both announce and see how they do with the voters.

Allred is the better of the two, my hot take is they will both underperform in the RGV relative to the past. I think its a sinking ship down there for Democrats and Cruz has the right personality.

This seat won't flip regardless. Allred has a record that is not going to jibe well in 2024, Gutierrez is too progressive for the state. I do think Gutierrez is a phenomenal public speaker though.

Oh, they definitely will, Rs registered a ton of new Republican voters there in recent years, and 2022 showed that the RGV is not going back to how it voted prior to 2020. However not getting totally crushed is important there are quite a few counties there with lots of voters.

 I believe Guttieriez can do significantly better than Biden and Beto did in 2020 and 2022 but the days of hitting 70% plus in those counties are over. Not sure how Allred would do there but he likely doesn't have the same appeal as Guttieriez does, he may outrun Biden their but probably not significantly.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Of course it's Kean R it's wave insurance but Rs are losing by 2008 because the Pandemic was another Great Recession like 2008

But just because a user says it's Lean R doesn't make it so

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

One could only pray to God or Vishnu or The Flying Spaghetti Monster that this seat flips. Allred is the Democrats best possible nominee, but this is still a "Lean R" at best for them

Do you know whom Biden is he was on the ballot in 2008/12 that got us 59 seats the reason why we failed to get a landslide was in 20 Trump gave out stimulus checks and no Rs want to get rid of all entitlement

FL isn't safe either for Rs them Emerson has Biden tied in FL a month ago 44

FL is a likely R state, and will probably vote to the right of TX.

There hasn't been any polls except for Emerson we'rent you guys saying that DeSantis can beat Biden you Conserv have no standing with DeSantis losing by 10

But you guys would post a NV poll in a heartbeat showing Biden loosing

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

I take it this is gonna be one of those threads where every other post has to include something to the effect of "This seat won't flip, but..."?

[Real Texan Politics]

I take it this is gonna be one of those threads where every other post has to include something to the effect of "This seat won't flip, but..."?

Sounds more Tennessee or Missouri to me