Election Night 2022 if...
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April 26, 2024, 12:02:21 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Election Night 2022 if...
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libertpaulian
Junior Chimp
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« on: November 12, 2022, 11:48:19 PM »

-Dobbs is still decided
-3% inflation
-Gas is $2.75
-No threat of rail strike
-Unemployment rate is same as OTL
-Wage gains are same as OTL
-GOP still goes crazy as they did OTL

What do the maps/numbers look like?
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libertpaulian
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: November 13, 2022, 10:19:16 PM »

Bump
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: November 13, 2022, 10:57:49 PM »

Barnes, Beasley, and Sisolak win. Warnock avoids a runoff and wins. Dems also hold the House.
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bagelman
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: November 14, 2022, 12:02:58 AM »

Democrats win Wisconsin-Senate even with the fairly mediocre Mandela Barnes. NC is seat #53 and OH is seat #54. Florida will find some bullshit excuse to swing Republican, so seat #55 is Utah, #56 is Iowa, and #57 is Missouri. In practice Democrats will probably be limited to 53, 54 at the very most.

Democrats hold the House, winning districts like AZ-1 and CO-3 among many others. All those New York flips probably don't happen unless the crime rate is even higher than OTL in NYC. 

In gubernatorial races, we won't have to wait until now for Hobbs to be the clear winner. Sisolak is a mediocre governor at best but he holds on in NV. OR and KS are both big Democratic wins. The media will hype up Georgia, Texas, and Oklahoma and maybe even Florida all of which stay Republican because muh guns muh trans kids muh litter boxes muh trump.

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