Will the electoral college-PV gap shrink or even reverse?

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Based on last nights results I’d say it’s a good possibility

[100% pro-life no matter what]

If Republicans start regularly winning Florida by double digits and continue to be more respectable in New York, that would lessen the gap a lot.  Those gaps tend to be fleeting anyway- in October 2012, the conventional wisdom was that Romney might win the popular vote but lose the Electoral College.

[TheElectoralBoobyPrize]

If Republicans start regularly winning Florida by double digits and continue to be more respectable in New York, that would lessen the gap a lot.  Those gaps tend to be fleeting anyway- in October 2012, the conventional wisdom was that Romney might win the popular vote but lose the Electoral College.

And indeed the Electoral College favored Obama that year.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

If Republicans start regularly winning Florida by double digits and continue to be more respectable in New York, that would lessen the gap a lot.  Those gaps tend to be fleeting anyway- in October 2012, the conventional wisdom was that Romney might win the popular vote but lose the Electoral College.

I think the white vote in NY will revert to 2020 levels, but Rs could make up for that in CA with hispanics, who seem to be a more gop trending group than non college whites

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Frankly, I almost hope Biden wins in 2024 while losing the popular vote. I think that’d be the only way to get Republicans on board with abolishing the Electoral College.

[Skill and Chance]

Frankly, I almost hope Biden wins in 2024 while losing the popular vote. I think that’d be the only way to get Republicans on board with abolishing the Electoral College.

That's not happening.  They would advocate state level changes instead.

[Skill and Chance]

If Republicans start regularly winning Florida by double digits and continue to be more respectable in New York, that would lessen the gap a lot.  Those gaps tend to be fleeting anyway- in October 2012, the conventional wisdom was that Romney might win the popular vote but lose the Electoral College.

I think the white vote in NY will revert to 2020 levels, but Rs could make up for that in CA with hispanics, who seem to be a more gop trending group than non college whites

Yes, DeSantis winning FL and TX by 15 while only losing CA by 15 is a lot more plausible than Biden only winning NY by 6.  I think it's a given the gap will shrink, but less than 50/50 that it will reverse in 2024.  I do think it will reverse by 2028.