AZ-SEN 2024: Away we Gallego (3/5 - Sinema OUT)

[Tekken_Guy]

You think Lake is waiting for an update on Trump’s running mate shortlist?

[MaxQue]

What are the odds she fills paperwork to the SoS loser of 2022 and claims her not being to the ballot is Democrats having stolen democracy from voters?

[The Mikado]

Gallego $3.1M in Q2

https://twitter.com/mattholt33/status/1679483395624017920

Sinema 1.7M in Q2.

People have this bizarre fake cynicism where they say big donors are everything and decide everything when just about every time a small donor campaign outraises a big donor one, often by large margins. It's this weird hangover from the pre-ActBlue days.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I don't donate until June 24 anyways you don't donate major dollars like it's 2012/16

Just like it's fun to make nut maps but donating is a total different story the polls that came out shows Trump up AZ and GA 52)48 and BIDEN UP 52)48 IN WI, PA and MI but Trump isn't up 4 in AZ and GA

Winning TX, FL and MO is far fetched but winning AZ, OH and MT and winning 218 in the H is feesible

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Sinema's fundraising numbers (even though Gallego's are better) indicate she is very likely running for re-election.

[SnowLabrador]

Sinema's fundraising numbers (even though Gallego's are better) indicate she is very likely running for re-election.

Great, that means we'll lose the seat to Kari effing Lake.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Sinema has decent odds of winning if her opponents are Gallego and Lake. Very easy to paint the far-left vs far-right vs centrist approach in that situation. Its like catnip for white suburbanites.

[wbrocks67]

Sinema has decent odds of winning if her opponents are Gallego and Lake. Very easy to paint the far-left vs far-right vs centrist approach in that situation. Its like catnip for white suburbanites.

LMAO I'm sorry what? This is straight up delusional. Also, Gallego in no universe is comparable to Lake.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sinema has decent odds of winning if her opponents are Gallego and Lake. Very easy to paint the far-left vs far-right vs centrist approach in that situation. Its like catnip for white suburbanites.

Lol she at 15% in every poll I know what you Rs think so she can block the Filibuster proof Trifecta

[SnowLabrador]

Sinema has decent odds of winning if her opponents are Gallego and Lake. Very easy to paint the far-left vs far-right vs centrist approach in that situation. Its like catnip for white suburbanites.

LMAO I'm sorry what? This is straight up delusional. Also, Gallego in no universe is comparable to Lake.

Agreed. The only question is whether Sinema takes enough votes from Gallego to elect Lake. My bet is she will.

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/axios/status/1689243570211799040

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Has been she will lose again

[ProgressiveModerate]

Is it a given that Lake will be the nominee if she runs.

Her primary win for 2022-Gov was pretty narrow, but even then she was only really facing 1 main primary challenger. The risk here for the GOP is if the "sane" vote is fractured between 2 or more candidates, allowing Lake to win with just 40% or smtg.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Tilt Gallego to Lean Gallego

[President Johnson]

Great news for Gallego, especially since some disaffected Republicans who would otherwise hold their nose might end up voring for Sinema (if she even runs). Now just Mastriano is missing for the Pennsylvania race and Republicans are poised to have another cycle with recruitment failures.

[Blair]

People dunk on the democrats as being incompetent but it’s hilarious that the republicans have basically thrown away what 4 different elections in Arizona because they run such awful candidates?

[Landslide Lyndon]

Great news for Gallego, especially since some disaffected Republicans who would otherwise hold their nose might end up voring for Sinema (if she even runs). Now just Mastriano is missing for the Pennsylvania race and Republicans are poised to have another cycle with recruitment failures.

I thought Mastriano announced that he wouldn't run for senate.

[Sir Mohamed]

https://twitter.com/axios/status/1689243570211799040

Primary: Tossup -> Safe Lake

GE: Tilt Gallego -> Lean Gallego

How long until the orange buffoon comes out and gives Lake his "complete and total endorsement"?

[President Johnson]

Great news for Gallego, especially since some disaffected Republicans who would otherwise hold their nose might end up voring for Sinema (if she even runs). Now just Mastriano is missing for the Pennsylvania race and Republicans are poised to have another cycle with recruitment failures.

I thought Mastriano announced that he wouldn't run for senate.

Right, I missed that one or already forgot. So Lake will be a frontrunner for the title of the most obnoxious Republican senate candidate of the 2024 cycle.

[Tekken_Guy]

Great news for Gallego, especially since some disaffected Republicans who would otherwise hold their nose might end up voring for Sinema (if she even runs). Now just Mastriano is missing for the Pennsylvania race and Republicans are poised to have another cycle with recruitment failures.

I thought Mastriano announced that he wouldn't run for senate.

Right, I missed that one or already forgot. So Lake will be a frontrunner for the title of the most obnoxious Republican senate candidate of the 2024 cycle.

There’s a certain midwestern sheriff who might be challenging her for that title.

[Mr. Smith]

Could Gallego end up like Rubio.

In which case, I'm laughing my butt off if Sinema ends up like Changing Charlie and gets thrown over by the GOP for similar reasons.

[Sir Mohamed]

Could Gallego end up like Rubio.

In which case, I'm laughing my butt off if Sinema ends up like Changing Charlie and gets thrown over by the GOP for similar reasons.

Gallego could very well win a 3-way race with 48.9% of the vote, but I really doubt Sinema ends up with close to 29% and/or finish ahead of Lake. Crist came in 2nd in 2010, the Dem just received 20% of the vote. Imho it's more likely she doesn't even break double digits.

[BigZuck08]

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4167694-kari-lake-says-shell-decide-on-arizona-senate-run-by-years-end/#:~:text=Former%20Arizona%20GOP%20gubernatorial%20candidate,on%20NewsNation's%20%E2%80%9CThe%20Hill.%E2%80%9D

Kari Lake says she'll decide on AZ Senate Run by end of this year.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Gallego has this

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

New prediction market out.