AZ-SEN 2024: Away we Gallego (3/5 - Sinema OUT) (user search)
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April 28, 2024, 02:36:09 AM
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  AZ-SEN 2024: Away we Gallego (3/5 - Sinema OUT) (search mode)
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Author Topic: AZ-SEN 2024: Away we Gallego (3/5 - Sinema OUT)  (Read 52938 times)
wbrocks67
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« Reply #50 on: March 12, 2024, 04:57:00 PM »
Quote from: Arizona Iced Tea on March 12, 2024, 03:55:14 PM
Quote from: Cyrusman on March 12, 2024, 03:50:12 PM
Quote from: Arizona Iced Tea on March 07, 2024, 02:36:11 PM
I think Lean D is fair. If Trump wins Arizona then Kari Lake will probably win her race as well, but I think Biden is narrowly favored to win AZ though and its very, very, unlikely Kari Lake of all people can outrun Trump in the suburbs.

I think Trump needs to win by at least 2 or more. I could see a situation where Trump wins by 1-2 while Lake still looses. She is more toxic than Trump is AZ, Biden is way more unpopular than Gallego, and the senate race doesn't have RFK, Stein, and no labels.
Gallego is just too liberal to significantly outrun Biden. Yes, I think he's favored but that's mainly because Biden is probably going to win AZ again. Mark Kelly only outran Biden by around 2 points despite people expecting a much larger victory.

I think sometimes this matters (if he was a squad member or something), but what matters is 'perception' more - and I'm not on the ground in AZ, but Gallego seems to have a good schtick, kind of like Jon Ossoff - where they may be very liberal, but they aren't perceived that way. Or even Mark Kelly tbh, he's not really a 'moderate' per se, he's gone along with all the progressive priorities of the Biden admin. But people still see him as an independent maverick a bit. Now, that's probably a stretch for Gallego, but I also don't think he is or will be seen as some extreme leftwing guy, especially with Lake as his foil. He just needs to be normal at this point.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #51 on: April 02, 2024, 08:29:45 AM »
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #52 on: April 09, 2024, 02:37:07 PM »
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #53 on: April 09, 2024, 02:49:13 PM »
I mean, jfc, this woman is the biggest phony of all time. It's literally on tape!
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #54 on: April 10, 2024, 11:39:15 AM »
Gallego's team could literally just air these for the rest of the cycle and be good. It's not just about her abhorrent positions on abortion, but it exposes her again as just a cynical opportunist who will say anything to get elected.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #55 on: April 11, 2024, 06:22:59 PM »
LMAO she is so desperate. She knows she's screwed
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #56 on: April 17, 2024, 07:49:22 AM »
Lake is cooked at this point, she's just truly an F-tier candidate.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #57 on: April 17, 2024, 08:12:15 AM »
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #58 on: April 22, 2024, 08:53:11 AM »
What is she even doing? lol

She really dropped the 'oh the AZ ban is not good' act after about 3 days
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #59 on: April 23, 2024, 08:47:39 AM »
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