Wait a minute, their GCB is showing R+3? So not only are they trying to say the GCB in Washington state is more Republican that the nation as a whole, but that Smiley is even underperforming that ridiculous GCB.
The WA GOP used to do well on the GCB because their incumbents were very strong. Herrera-Beutler is gone, but she, Newhouse, and McMorris Rodgers were all very strong overperformers. If the GOP didn't fudge the Olympia district, the GCB in Washington would've been D +12.
Of course, this poll overall is terrible, but the WA GOP usually overperforms in house races to the extent where the average of their candidates is strong. Smiley is also strong, but she could still run behind the statewide house because of that.
