WA Sen - Moore Information - TIED
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Author Topic: WA Sen - Moore Information - TIED  (Read 1272 times)
AncestralDemocrat.
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« on: November 07, 2022, 03:13:40 PM »

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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2022, 03:15:13 PM »

This has to be a joke right
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Dani Rose
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« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2022, 03:15:54 PM »

Never change, right-wing pollsters.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2022, 03:16:42 PM »

If Smiley somehow wins, this pollster will be hailed as the new gold standard.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2022, 03:17:50 PM »

Dude she's gonna lose 55/45 like Murray wins all the time anyways
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President Johnson
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« Reply #5 on: November 07, 2022, 03:18:48 PM »

One more day and it's over, folks.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #6 on: November 07, 2022, 03:19:48 PM »

Murray is as likely to lose as Rubio at this pt
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #7 on: November 07, 2022, 03:21:28 PM »


Maybe not, Washington takes weeks to count.
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Dani Rose
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« Reply #8 on: November 07, 2022, 03:22:24 PM »


Oh, don't worry, this one's gonna be over on E-Day.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #9 on: November 07, 2022, 03:22:49 PM »


It won't matter Murray isn't losing
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #10 on: November 07, 2022, 03:31:05 PM »

Lol the Republican pollsters need to give it up with this one. 
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soundchaser
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« Reply #11 on: November 07, 2022, 03:35:29 PM »

There's not a single reliable indicator (primary vote, early vote) that this race will be close, let alone a tie. Throw it in the garbage.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #12 on: November 07, 2022, 03:44:53 PM »

Wait a minute, their GCB is showing R+3? So not only are they trying to say the GCB in Washington state is more Republican that the nation as a whole, but that Smiley is even underperforming that ridiculous GCB.
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They put it to a vote and they just kept lying
20RP12
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« Reply #13 on: November 07, 2022, 04:08:17 PM »

ok lol
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kwabbit
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« Reply #14 on: November 07, 2022, 04:14:45 PM »

Wait a minute, their GCB is showing R+3? So not only are they trying to say the GCB in Washington state is more Republican that the nation as a whole, but that Smiley is even underperforming that ridiculous GCB.

The WA GOP used to do well on the GCB because their incumbents were very strong. Herrera-Beutler is gone, but she, Newhouse, and McMorris Rodgers were all very strong overperformers. If the GOP didn't fudge the Olympia district, the GCB in Washington would've been D +12.

Of course, this poll overall is terrible, but the WA GOP usually overperforms in house races to the extent where the average of their candidates is strong. Smiley is also strong, but she could still run behind the statewide house because of that.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #15 on: November 07, 2022, 04:28:31 PM »

It's a terrible poll because only 42M Early voted and they are 130 M and more Ds in WA are gonna vote on Eday than Rs

That's why WI is gonna come in for Barnes more Ds in Eday in WI are gonna vote than Rs but naturally in a red state more Rs are gonna vote red than blue on Eday that's why it's over in TX and FL
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morgieb
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« Reply #16 on: November 07, 2022, 04:30:08 PM »

Press X to doubt
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #17 on: November 08, 2022, 12:19:48 AM »

I’m not sure people actually understand how many vulnerabilities Murray has and just how effectively Smiley has exploited those. I haven’t followed the House races nearly as closely as the Senate races this year, but I can’t think of a single race where there is a stronger, more striking contrast between two candidates.

While I strongly doubt that Smiley wins, I think this one will surprise people even more than NH.
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S019
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« Reply #18 on: November 08, 2022, 12:21:01 AM »

Murray is going to win and by more than most blue avatars think.
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AnOdyssey
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« Reply #19 on: November 08, 2022, 12:58:15 AM »

I think its more likely Murray loses than Grassley losing.
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #20 on: November 08, 2022, 02:33:08 AM »

I’m not sure people actually understand how many vulnerabilities Murray has and just how effectively Smiley has exploited those. I haven’t followed the House races nearly as closely as the Senate races this year, but I can’t think of a single race where there is a stronger, more striking contrast between two candidates.

While I strongly doubt that Smiley wins, I think this one will surprise people even more than NH.

If all of this is true, why is Smiley underperforming the GCB?
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
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« Reply #21 on: November 08, 2022, 02:44:46 AM »

Do the GOP hack pollsters have to give back all of their cocaine after election day? Because they sure are seeming to throw every sh**t poll and insane takes over the last day or so.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #22 on: November 08, 2022, 03:21:53 AM »

I kind of wonder if part of the intent here is to try to gin up "rigged election fever" in Washington State Republicans in the first big election since Dems took over the Secretary of State office. Not saying that would work or it's a good idea or anything, just that all this effort to make the race look competitive seems really odd if the race does turn out to be something like Murray +8 in the end.
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Left Wing
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« Reply #23 on: November 09, 2022, 12:22:17 AM »

Murray is so boring but this is Washington
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #24 on: November 09, 2022, 12:46:13 AM »

LOL

LOL

LOL

LOL
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