IA-Selzer: Grassley +12 (user search)
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  IA-Selzer: Grassley +12 (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA-Selzer: Grassley +12  (Read 3409 times)
GALeftist
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Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

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« on: November 05, 2022, 09:07:25 PM »
Word is that Selzer found a GCB of R+11 in Iowa, which implies a roughly even GCB nationally...
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
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Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2022, 09:14:03 PM »
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on November 05, 2022, 09:09:56 PM
Quote from: GALeftist on November 05, 2022, 09:07:25 PM
Word is that Selzer found a GCB of R+11 in Iowa, which implies a roughly even GCB nationally...

Explain!

That's just my guess (also these people on Twitter while generally reliable could be wrong), but Iowa was 12.5 points right of the nation on the presidential level and 9 points right of the nation in terms of GCB in 2020 if memory serves. My guess is that with fewer D incumbents it will be about 11 points right of the nation in terms of GCB in 2022.
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #2 on: November 09, 2022, 10:22:31 AM »
This was really when the 2020 parallels solidified for me. I looked at the conservatives on this board and saw myself in 2020 picking through Selzer's crosstabs.
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