FL-GOV Siena College/Spectrum News: DeSantis + 12
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Author Topic: FL-GOV Siena College/Spectrum News: DeSantis + 12  (Read 382 times)
2016
Junior Chimp
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« on: November 04, 2022, 06:36:42 AM »

Ron DeSantis 54
Charlie Crist 42

DeSantis getting even 14 % of the Democratic Vote.

https://scri.siena.edu/2022/11/04/spectrum-news-siena-college-florida-poll/
https://scri.siena.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/FL1022-Crosstabs.pdf

DeSantis is getting 12 % of the AA Vote leads Crist 61-36 among Hispanics. That explains Miami-Dade and Osceola Counties.
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iceman
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« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2022, 06:39:56 AM »

it’s gonna be 56-43 on Nov 8. Crist will only win Leon, Gadsden, Orange, Alachua, Broward, Palm Beach and probably Osceola.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2022, 06:40:40 AM »

We don't need TX and FL

Due to fact Beasley and Ryan and Barnes are close and Fetterman is gonna win that solidifies the Senate I fully expect Hassan and CCM and WARNOCK to win WARNOCK is leading in EMERSON, MARIST and Survey USA

CCM leads in Phillips Academy and Suffolk poll and I posted Hassan plus 10 yesterday

Barnes is 2, pts down but Evers is 2 pts ahead if Evers win I don't see Barnes loses
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2022, 06:46:35 AM »

it’s gonna be 56-43 on Nov 8. Crist will only win Leon, Gadsden, Orange, Alachua, Broward, Palm Beach and probably Osceola.
A whopping 72 % Approve of DeSantis' Response to Hurricane IAN. That tells you everything you'll need to know here. DeSantis also has a favorable Rating of 55 % while Crist is underwater.
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2022, 06:48:23 AM »

We don't need TX and FL

Due to fact Beasley and Ryan and Barnes are close and Fetterman is gonna win that solidifies the Senate I fully expect Hassan and CCM and WARNOCK to win WARNOCK is leading in EMERSON, MARIST and Survey USA

CCM leads in Phillips Academy and Suffolk poll and I posted Hassan plus 10 yesterday

Barnes is 2, pts down but Evers is 2 pts ahead if Evers win I don't see Barnes loses
Early Vote in NV looks bad for Dems. Clark Firewall not holding. Ryan and Barnes will not win. CCM may very well lose. Senate 51-49 GOP.
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iceman
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« Reply #5 on: November 04, 2022, 07:14:43 AM »

We don't need TX and FL

Due to fact Beasley and Ryan and Barnes are close and Fetterman is gonna win that solidifies the Senate I fully expect Hassan and CCM and WARNOCK to win WARNOCK is leading in EMERSON, MARIST and Survey USA

CCM leads in Phillips Academy and Suffolk poll and I posted Hassan plus 10 yesterday

Barnes is 2, pts down but Evers is 2 pts ahead if Evers win I don't see Barnes loses
Early Vote in NV looks bad for Dems. Clark Firewall not holding. Ryan and Barnes will not win. CCM may very well lose. Senate 51-49 GOP.

I am counting on NH too as the 52nd seat, I am hoping that witch Hassan to lose.
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: November 04, 2022, 07:50:38 AM »

We don't need TX and FL

Due to fact Beasley and Ryan and Barnes are close and Fetterman is gonna win that solidifies the Senate I fully expect Hassan and CCM and WARNOCK to win WARNOCK is leading in EMERSON, MARIST and Survey USA

CCM leads in Phillips Academy and Suffolk poll and I posted Hassan plus 10 yesterday

Barnes is 2, pts down but Evers is 2 pts ahead if Evers win I don't see Barnes loses
Early Vote in NV looks bad for Dems. Clark Firewall not holding. Ryan and Barnes will not win. CCM may very well lose. Senate 51-49 GOP.

I am counting on NH too as the 52nd seat, I am hoping that witch Hassan to lose.
NH will tell us a lot mate. Large Independent Population and if GOP wins Indies there no reason to believe that they won't win them elsewhere.
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TheTide
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« Reply #7 on: November 04, 2022, 07:58:15 AM »

Crist has been hammered statewide as a Republican, an Independent and now it seems as a Democrat. Will he add to his collection by being the Libertarian or Green candidate in a future Senate or Gubernatorial race?
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Real Texan Politics
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« Reply #8 on: November 04, 2022, 10:26:28 AM »

Crist is nothing short of f***ed if this is the case.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #9 on: November 04, 2022, 01:15:23 PM »

Good lord that's an awful poll for the Ds here...jesus crist...
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Vosem
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« Reply #10 on: November 04, 2022, 01:45:56 PM »

Siena has had a bit of a Democratic house effect this cycle, and also if Republicans win Dade by 11 then they're winning by more than 12 statewide.
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iceman
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« Reply #11 on: November 04, 2022, 08:34:45 PM »

interestingly, DeSantis is winning more in Miami-Dade and also the hispanics in this poll than Rubio. On the flipside, Rubio is attracting more AA vote than DeSantis by a lot. This poll also has winning DeSantis by 12 in Orlando area which a bit sketchy but a 56-43 statewide margin is very plausible at this point.
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